|

Copper: Incentive price regime expected to persist – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank Research forecasts a sustained incentive price regime for Copper, driven by inelastic mine supply and electrification-linked demand. The report anticipates a quarterly peak of $13,000/t in Q2, followed by moderation in prices as production recovers at major mines. The potential for US tariffs on refined copper may also introduce volatility.

Copper prices forecasted to peak in Q2

"We believe an incentive price regime is here to stay for copper, supported by inelastic mine supply, electrification-linked demand drivers and high greenfield capex."

"We forecast a quarterly peak of $13,000/t in Q2 followed by some moderation in prices from H2 as production could begin to recover at several major mines."

"The threat of US tariffs on refined copper should lead to continued metal flows to the US in H1, although policy developments could lead to high volatility later this year."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold pares intraday losses; down a little below $4,100 as focus remains on US NFP

Gold recovers most of its early intraday losses, trading with a mild negative bias near $4,070-$4,075. The US Dollar extends Thursday's recovery from its lowest level since late September, exerting some downward pressure on the commodity. Furthermore, a hawkish US Federal Reserve contributes to the precious metal pullback from a two-week high, which it touched the previous day. Bearish traders, however, seem hesitant ahead of the release of US monthly employment details, which should provide a fresh impetus to the precious metal.

Canada Unemployment Rate set to hold at 6.5% as hiring recovers

Statistics Canada will release its October Labour Force Survey on Friday at 13:30 GMT, with markets anticipating a modest recovery in employment following September's sharp decline. The Unemployment Rate will also be closely watched, as the latest figures could influence the Canadian Dollar.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to pick up in October

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release October Nonfarm Payrolls data on Friday at 13:30 GMT. The report is expected to show an increase of 65K jobs, up from 29K in the previous month.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.