China/US trade tensions to re-emerge, could lead to renewed USD support - Rabobank

Felipe Erazo FXStreet

Analysts at Rabobank believe that USD strength has repeatedly confounded market expectations since early last year and there are reasons to suspect that this may continue for a while amid US-China trade tensions.

Key quotes

"The fact that USD strength has repeatedly confounded market expectations since early last year begs the question as to whether the factors that are underpinning the USD have undergone an adjustment in recent years."

"We argue that there have been changes in the market dynamics behind the USD."

"Consequently, we would suggest that there is a strong chance that USD strength is likely to continue perplexing the market at least over the next year or so."

Author

Felipe Erazo

FXStreet

Born in Colombia, Felipe Erazo is the American Session Manager at FXStreet. He has been studying journalism with a degree in social communication at the Universidad de Chile.

EUR/USD flirts with three-day lows near 1.1570

EUR/USD resumes its march south on Thursday, revisting the 1.1570 region, or three-day lows, ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The intense sell-off in the pair comes in response to the solid performance of the US Dollar amid the still unresolved crisis in the Middle East. Moving forward, investors are expected to shift their focus to the release of the US NFP on Friday.

GBP/USD stays offered near 1.3340

GBP/USD fades Wednesday’s uptick and trades with decent losses in the 1.3340 zone in the latter part of Thursday’s session. Cable’s weakness, alongside the rest of the risk complex, follows the strong performance of the Greenback amid intense geopolitical jitters.

Gold: further weakness could challenge $5,000

Gold comes under fresh selling pressure on Thursday, slipping back below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Persistent strength in the US Dollar (USD) is preventing the yellow metal from building a meaningful recovery, even as markets remain risk-averse amid the deepening conflict in the Middle East.

XRP rises as crypto market steadies despite Middle East war

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.

Two PMIs, two Chinas

China’s economic data are often treated with a degree of caution by global investors. The challenge is not necessarily that the numbers are incorrect, but that they can describe very different parts of a vast and complex economy. Nowhere is that more evident than in China’s PMIs.