In China, the third quarter PBOC report shows some hints on tightening shadow banking, points out Iris Pang, Economist at ING.
Key Quotes
“Apart from limiting interbank negotiable certificates of deposits (NCD)’s of less than a year’s maturity, the PBoC is preparing to include NCDs in its Macro Prudential Assessment (MPA) from the perspective of interbank business’ asset-liability ratio. The MPA may also include green finance in the future.”
“At the same time, the central bank will change cross border policies to attract more inflows by eliminating reserves on forward contracts that sell USD, as well as eliminating reserves on onshore deposits placed by offshore financial institutions.”
“Overall, it means that the PBoC is following the 19th Congress’s mandate to stabilise the financial sector during the financial sector clean-up. The restrictions and inclusion of NCDs into the MPA are just the first steps to control the growth of shadow banking. We expect more to come. On cross border flows, the central bank is relaxing inflows to net off the slightly relaxed window guidance on outflow. The intention is clear.”
“The central bank would like to have slightly positive net capital inflows so that more foreign investors will hold CNY assets onshore. This is one of the ways to promote RMB internationalisation.”
“Liquidity will continue to trend towards a slightly tighter situation. But the PBoC is ready to jump in to smooth liquidity whenever 10Y sovereign yields jump. So we don’t expect any liquidity crunch in China during the financial deleveraging process.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.0800 as trading action turns subdued
EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0800 on Thursday and remains on track to end the day in negative territory following upbeat macroeconomic data releases from the US. The action in financial markets turn subdued as trading volumes thin out heading into Easter holiday.
GBP/USD extends sideways grind above 1.2600
GBP/USD fluctuates in a narrow channel above 1.2600 on Thursday. The better-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims data from the US and the upward revision to the Q4 GDP growth help the USD stay resilient against its rivals and limits the pair's upside.
Gold pulls away from daily highs, holds above $2,200
Gold retreats from daily highs but holds comfortably above $2,200 in the American session on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays near 4.2% after upbeat US data and makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather further bullish momentum.
XRP price falls to $0.60 support as Ripple ruling doesn’t help Coinbase lawsuit against SEC
XRP programmatic sales ruling by Judge Torres was completely rejected by another US Court that ruled in favor of the SEC in a lawsuit against Coinbase.
Portfolio rebalancing and reflation trades emerge into Q2
Yesterday’s price action pointed at a possible end-of-quarter portfolio rebalancing as the session saw the laggards of the quarter like Apple and Tesla gain, and the stars like Microsoft and Nvidia retreat.