|

Canada annual CPI inflation softens to 3.1% in October vs. 3.2% expected

  • Annual inflation in Canada declined at a faster pace than forecast in October.
  • USD/CAD trades in negative territory at around 1.3700 after the data.

Inflation in Canada, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), softened to 3.1% on a yearly basis in October from 3.8% in September. This reading came in below the market expectation of 3.2%. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.1%, matching analysts' estimate.

"The year-over-year deceleration was largely a result of lower prices for gasoline (-7.8%) in October," Statistics Canada noted in the press release. "Excluding gasoline, the CPI rose 3.6% in October, following a 3.7% increase in September."

Moreover, the Bank of Canada reported that the monthly Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.3%, while the annual Core CPI edged lower to 2.7% from 2.8%.

Market reaction

USD/CAD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades in negative territory at around 1.3700 after the inflation report.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).