|

BoC Poloz: hopeful as ever, but still playing on the safe side

Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Poloz gave statements during a Q&A today regarding interest rates and the BoC's stance moving forward.

Key highlights

Sees the need for monetary stimulus fading.

Too much debt could expose vulnerability.

Things are currently fine, but as interest rates move higher debt could become too expensive to service.

Economy can still continue to grow.

Poloz believes there is still untapped potential in the economy.

Wage growth has been picking up, expects this to continue.

Wants to see the youth, women participation rates move higher.

Concerned about household debt, transition dynamics.

Expects the neutral rate is about 3%.

BoC has no control over the neutral rate.

It's still too soon to return to the neutral rate.

BoC has no specific timeline for returning to the 3% mark.

More notes after speaking with reporters:

Income growth is the key to financial stability.

Sustainability comes from a strengthening economy, as well as nominal GDP growth.

Expects sentiment to improve after the current NAFTA issue gets resolved.

Canada is just beginning to enter the "sweet spot" of economic growth.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: Next upside target comes at 0.7000

AUD/USD has advanced further, clinching its third consecutive day of gains and trading at shouting distance from the key 0.7000 threshold on Tuesday. The widespread improved sentiment in the risk complex helped the Aussie maintain its upside momentum, while the fresh selling impulse in the Greenback also contributed to the move.

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 despite hawkish BoJ outlook

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 in the early European morning on Tuesday. The pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen fails to find any inspiration from hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty and elevated US bond yields keep the US Dollar near its YTD high despite receding October Fed hike bets. This, in turn, helps the pair stay supported.

Gold stays firm; looks at $4,200

Gold builds on Monday’s marginal bounce, although it struggles to reclaim the key $4,200 mark per troy ounce so far on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s advance comes on the back of the fresh downside momentum in the US Dollar in tandem with retreating US Treasury yields across the curve.

Ethena Price Forecast: ENA corrects as Ether.Fi launches stablecoin on the protocol
Ethena (ENA) trades near $0.24000 on Tuesday amid growing technical weakness. The Ethereum Layer-2 token has shed some of its recent gains, which peaked at $0.2946 on September 27, reinforcing profit-taking and buyer exhaustion. An extended sell-off would bring ENA to test the psychological support at $0.2000 and key technical levels further down.
Japanese Yen nears 158.00: Two analysts agree it's bullish, and disagree on how far the breakout goes

The JPY is drifting near 158.00 against the USD ahead of a busy week of Japanese data and a still-unclear BoJ timetable. The two most recent FXStreet analyses agree on the direction, but they disagree on the target and the mechanism.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.