AUD/USD wavers above 0.7900 despite Australia’s exports slump, Powell’s testimony in focus

  • AUD/USD defies pullback from the multi-month high marked the previous day.
  • Aussie Preliminary Trade Figures for January dropped, weekly consumer sentiment eased for third week, China’s monetary policy normalization on cards..
  • Japan eyes to remove virus-led emergency in Tokyo and surrounding prefectures, US stimulus talks progress.
  • Powell will be eyed closely amid mixed economics off-late.

AUD/USD stays in the choppy range between 0.7910 and 0.7922 since the start of Tuesday’s Asian session. In doing so, the quote pays little heed to the Australian preliminary trade numbers for January. The pair jumped to the highest since February 2018 the previous day but a lack of major directives and cautious sentiment ahead of the key event keep the quote on the sidelines.

Australia’s January month trade figures flashed downbeat data with exports dropping 9% and imports down 10%. Among the major countries, trades with the US and Japan are down the most.

Read: Australia preliminary trade figures for January, exports drop 9% MoM, AUD steady

Earlier in the day a third consecutive week of downbeat Consumer Confidence data from ANZ-Roy Morgan, from 109.9 to 109.2 recently, couldn’t move the AUD/USD prices.

It should be noted that the chatters surrounding Japan’s expected removal of virus-led emergencies from Tokyo and nearby prefectures should have helped the quote, amid risk-on mood, but failed off-late.

Also on the positive side were hints of China’s economic recovery and gradual scaling down monetary easing, as well as the US policymakers’ push for President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion covid relief stimulus.

However, strong bond yields keep the reflation fears on the card and tame the bulls ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s bi-annual testimony. Although Powell is most likely to reiterate his cautious optimism, any surprises won’t be taken lightly.

Read: The Week Ahead: Inflation and the Fed

Technical analysis

Unless breaking below 0.7820-15 area comprising highs marked on April 2018 and January 2020, AUD/USD sellers are less likely to step-in. Meanwhile, February 2018 peak surrounding 0.7975-80 can offer an intermediate halt on the way to 0.8000 psychological magnet.

Additional important levels

Today last price 0.7917
Today Daily Change 4 pips
Today Daily Change % 0.05%
Today daily open 0.7913
Daily SMA20 0.7718
Daily SMA50 0.7694
Daily SMA100 0.7473
Daily SMA200 0.726
Previous Daily High 0.793
Previous Daily Low 0.7854
Previous Weekly High 0.7878
Previous Weekly Low 0.7724
Previous Monthly High 0.782
Previous Monthly Low 0.7592
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7901
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7883
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7868
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7824
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7793
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7944
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7975
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8019



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