|

AUD/USD struggles to recover its losses, stays near mid-0.74s

  • AUD/USD looks to close the week with a loss of more than 100 pips.
  • US Dollar Index stays in the range below 95.
  • Mixed macroeconomic data releases from the US fail to provide a catalyst.

After closing the previous day below the critical 0.75 mark with a daily loss of nearly 100 pips, the AUD/USD pair failed to make a meaningful recovery on Friday and continued to edge lower. As of writing, the pair was trading at its lowest level since mid-May at 0.7455 and losing 0.3% on the day.

The first data from the United States on Friday showed that the New York Fed's Manufacturing Index improved to 25 in June from 20.1 in May to beat the market expectations. In the meantime, a separate report released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve revealed that the monthly industrial production in May contracted by 0.1% with the capacity utilization edging lower to 77.9% from 78.1%.

Following the mixed macroeconomic data, the US Dollar Index continues to consolidate its gains. After touching its highest level in more than 11 months at 95.15, the DXY is moving sideways below the 95 mark and was last seen at 94.85, where it was down 0.07% on the day.

On a weekly basis, the pair retraced all of its earning from the previous three weeks and is looking to close with a loss over 150 pips.

Technical outlook

0.7500 (psychological level) now aligns as the first technical resistance ahead of 0.7550 (50-DMA) and 0.7610 (Jun. 13 high). On the downside, supports are located at 0.7410 (May 8 low), 0.7370 (Jun. 1, 2017, low) and 0.7330 (May 9 low).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries, adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).