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AUD/USD remains vulnerable near multi-week lows amid dovish RBA expectations

  • AUD/USD witnessed some heavy selling for the fourth consecutive session on Tuesday.
  • Dovish RBA expectations turned out to be a key factor weighing heavily on the aussie.
  • The intraday downfall failed to gain any respite from the risk-on mood, weaker USD.

The AUD/USD pair maintained its offered tone through the early North American session and dropped to fresh multi-week lows, around the 0.7020 region in the last hour.

The pair extended its recent sharp pullback from the 0.7240-45 region and witnessed some follow-through selling for the fourth consecutive session. The downtick also marked the sixth day of a negative move in the previous seven and was sponsored by rising bets for a further easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

Market expectations that the Australian central bank will cut interest rates were reinforced by Thursday's comments by the RBA Deputy Governor, Chris Kent and October meeting minutes. Dovish RBA expectations turned out to be one of the key factors that took its toll on the aussie and exerted some heavy pressure on the AUD/USD pair.

Meanwhile, the ongoing downward trajectory to the lowest level since September 25 seemed rather unaffected by the prevalent selling bias surrounding the US dollar. The uncertainty over the US fiscal stimulus measures, along with the upbeat market mood undermined the greenback, albeit failed to lend any support to the AUD/USD pair.

On the economic data front, the disappointing release of the US Housing Starts was largely offset by slightly better-than-expected Building Permits. The data did little to influence the AUD/USD pair or provide any meaningful impetus as the focus remains on developments surrounding the US fiscal stimulus and coronavirus saga.

The AUD/USD pair has now moved well within September monthly swing lows support, around the key 0.7000 psychological mark. Some follow-through selling will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and pave the way for a further near-term depreciating move. The downtrend might then drag the pair towards testing sub-0.6900 levels.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7026
Today Daily Change-0.0038
Today Daily Change %-0.54
Today daily open0.7064
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7132
Daily SMA500.7203
Daily SMA1000.71
Daily SMA2000.679
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7116
Previous Daily Low0.7058
Previous Weekly High0.7242
Previous Weekly Low0.7055
Previous Monthly High0.7414
Previous Monthly Low0.7004
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.708
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7094
Daily Pivot Point S10.7043
Daily Pivot Point S20.7021
Daily Pivot Point S30.6984
Daily Pivot Point R10.7101
Daily Pivot Point R20.7138
Daily Pivot Point R30.716

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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