|

AUD/USD remains confined below 0.6570, focus on RBA’s Bullock speech

  • AUD/USD remains sideways near 0.6565 on the stronger USD.
  • The FOMC meeting begins its two-day meeting on Tuesday, with no change expected.
  • The ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence weekly survey came in at 80.8 vs. 76.4 prior.
  • RBA’s Bullock speech and US CPI report on Tuesday will be in focus.

The AUD/USD pair remains confined in a tight range of 0.6550-0.6575 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. A firmer US Dollar (USD) weighs on investor appetites and creates headwinds for the pair. At press time, AUD/USD is trading around 0.6565, down 0.02% for the day.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting begins its two-day meeting on Tuesday, with no change expected. Market players will take cues from the statement on when rate cutting could start next year. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the markets have priced in that FOMC to hold the rate steady at 5.25%–5.50% at its December meeting and pricing in a 25 basis point (bos) rate cut as early as March next year.

The focus on Tuesday will be the US November's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could offer some hints about further monetary policy paths. The monthly inflation figure is expected to rise by 0.1% MoM, while the annual rate is estimated to ease from 3.2% to 3.1%. Finally, the annual core inflation figure is projected to remain at 4.0%.

On the other hand, the Reserva Bank of Australia (RBA) left the official cash rate steady at 4.35% last week, but opened the door for additional rate hikes if inflation remains sticky. Consumer confidence in Australia improved to its highest since February following a decision by the RBA to hold rates. The ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence weekly survey for the week came in at 80.8 from the previous week's 76.4.

The RBA Governor Michele Bullock is set to speak at an event in Tuesday’s Asian session. Traders will also keep an eye on the Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence survey and the National Australia Bank's Business report. On the US docket, the US CPI and FOMC meeting will be in the spotlight. These events could give a clear direction to the AUD/USD pair.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6568
Today Daily Change-0.0010
Today Daily Change %-0.15
Today daily open0.6578
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6561
Daily SMA500.6446
Daily SMA1000.6466
Daily SMA2000.6576
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.662
Previous Daily Low0.6558
Previous Weekly High0.6691
Previous Weekly Low0.6526
Previous Monthly High0.6677
Previous Monthly Low0.6318
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6582
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6596
Daily Pivot Point S10.6551
Daily Pivot Point S20.6524
Daily Pivot Point S30.6489
Daily Pivot Point R10.6612
Daily Pivot Point R20.6647
Daily Pivot Point R30.6674

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD picks up bids above 0.7100 after RBA-speak

AUD/USD picks up bids above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Tuesday, following hawkish comments from RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter and Governor Michele Bullock. However, escalating tensions in the Middle East and the Fed's hawkish outlook remain supportive of the bullish US Dollar undertone, which could limit the pair. The crucial Trump-Xi summit is later this week and remains in focus.

USD/JPY holds small gains near 157.50 as JPY intervention risks loom

USD/JPY posts modest gains while trading near 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday as intervention fears help limit losses for the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish rate hike to a 31-year high keeps JPY bulls on the back foot. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a bullish undertone amid the Fed's hawkish outlook and escalating Middle East tensions, providing tailwinds for the pair.

Gold  battles $4,300 amid hawkish Fed, Iran risks

Gold turns lower for the second consecutive day following a modest intraday uptick, challenging the $4,315 region, or a three-day low in the European session on Tuesday. The US Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook is seen as a key factor driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin pauses rally as profit-taking reaches yearly high

Bitcoin takes a breather, facing a pullback, trading below $85,500 on Tuesday after surging 6.7% the previous day. Strong institutional demand supports the bullish price action, with spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds recording nearly $1 billion in inflows on Monday and Strategy adding 950 BTC to its treasury.

Energy and risk markets remain in the driver’s seat
US stock markets rallied up 2.26% (Nasdaq) yesterday with AI/tech names leading the advance. The Nasdaq even tested the all-time high reached early June. The likes of the S&P 500 and EuroStoxx50 recovered up to 1.5%. Positive risk vibes and lower energy prices supported consolidation on bond markets following the past month’s heavy losses. European yield curves bull steepened.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.