|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls take the high road but bears emerge from critcal H4 resistance

  • AUD/USD bulls testing critical resistance within a bearish territory. 
  • The bears have not thrown in the towel just yet.

The price is breaking out of the downward trend in a rising wedge formation. While this is typically regarded as a bearish continuation chart pattern, the Aussie has a habit of defying gravity when correcting the trend and a break of the current resistance would be a significant development. There is a void between there and the 0.73 figure and the price imbalance could well be mitigated. 

AUD/USD H4 charts

On the other hand, the bears are moving in and repeated failures at this resistance level would be expected to leave the ball in their court. A subsequent break of the next term support would be expected to encourage the bears back to the table and a snowball effect gathering momentum could result in a downside continuation and restest of the counter trendline:

A break of the trendline and a run on sell stops would be expected to result in supply that could push the bulls back to the edge of an abyss at 0.6950:

AUD/USD daily chart

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD nudges higher above 1.3350 despite Middle East turmoil

The GBP/USD pair rebounds to near 1.3385 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid cooler-than-expected UK inflation data and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Traders will take more cues from the UK Retail Sales report, which is due later on Friday. 


EUR/USD advances ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.1410 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair gains ground as the Euro finds solid support ahead of the European Central Bank's upcoming interest rate decision.

Gold holds above $4,100 as weak USD counters Fed hike bets amid US-Iran escalation

Gold holds above the $4,100 mark during the Asian session, and seems to have stalled the previous day's modest pullback from an over two-week high. Crude oil prices climb to a fresh high since June 11 amid a further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, fueling inflation fears and bolstering US Federal Reserve interest rate hike expectations. This lifts US Treasury bond yields to a multi-month high and is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for the non-yielding bullion.

Hyperliquid, Robinhood could lead crypto’s next bull market as DeFi and TradFi converge

The next crypto bull market could be driven by the growing convergence between blockchain-based financial infrastructure and traditional finance, according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. In a report published late Tuesday, Hougan argued that crypto may be showing early signs of a market bottom, with Bitcoin gaining 9% since July 1 even as the NASDAQ 100 declined 6%.

Ripple and Stellar await direction amid cautious sentiment

Ripple and Stellar trade cautiously as both tokens hover around key technical levels. XRP is testing resistance at its 50-day EMA, while XLM continues to consolidate around the $0.187 support zone. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives data with a slight bearish tilt suggests traders remain cautious, keeping the next directional move uncertain.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.