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AUD/USD extends rally to fresh multi-week highs near 0.69

  • US Dollar Index starts the week with a bullish gap.
  • China's trade surplus narrows to $34.84 billion in August.
  • Trading action is likely to remain subdued in the second half of the day.

Despite the uninspiring trade data from China, the AUD/USD pair preserved its bullish momentum and is now building on last week's gains. As of writing, the pair, which touched its highest level since late July at 0.6873, was trading at 0.6870, adding 0.35% on a daily basis. However, the lack of fundamental drivers behind the AUD strength suggests that the pair's movements are largely technical. 

US tariffs weigh on China's trade surplus 

The General Administration of Customs of China on Sunday reported that China's exports fell 1% in August on a yearly basis while imports contracted 5.6% in the same period to reflect the negative impact of the trade dispute and dragged the trade surplus down to $34.84 billion from $45.06 billion compared to analysts' estimate of $43 billion. 

Commenting on the data, “China’s August trade data was weak, with exports and imports falling, reflecting the worsening impact of tariffs and slowing growth," TD Securities analysts said. "The trade outlook is likely to deteriorate further, with the latest intensification of tariffs having yet to be felt."

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index started the day with a bullish gap after suffering losses last week and is making it difficult for the pair to continue to push higher for the time being. There won't be any macroeconomic data releases from the US in the remainder of the day and the pair is likely to trade in its daily range. During the Asian session, the National Bank of Australia's Business Confidence Index and Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) from China will be looked upon for fresh catalysts.

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6869
Today Daily Change0.0025
Today Daily Change %0.37
Today daily open0.6844
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6767
Daily SMA500.6866
Daily SMA1000.6914
Daily SMA2000.7024
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6862
Previous Daily Low0.6806
Previous Weekly High0.6862
Previous Weekly Low0.6687
Previous Monthly High0.6869
Previous Monthly Low0.6676
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6841
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6827
Daily Pivot Point S10.6812
Daily Pivot Point S20.6781
Daily Pivot Point S30.6756
Daily Pivot Point R10.6868
Daily Pivot Point R20.6893
Daily Pivot Point R30.6924

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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