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AUD/USD drops to fresh daily lows near 0.6730 as DXY climbs to multi-month highs

  • Australia's trade surplus narrowed more than expected in December.
  • US Dollar Index rose to its highest level since mid-October.
  • Coming up: RBA Governor Lowe speech and AiG's Performance of Services Index.

The AUD/USD pair posted decisive gains during the first half of the week on the back of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) optimistic tone and some upbeat macroeconomic data releases from Australia but struggled to push higher on Thursday. With the broad-based USD strength dominating the markets, the pair retraced a portion of its rally and was last down 0.12% on the day at 0.6736.

Earlier in the day, the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that the trade surplus in December narrowed 5.2 billion AUD to cap the pair's upside. Furthermore, the National Australia Bank's Business Confidence Index in the fourth quarter stayed unchanged at -1 to miss the market expectation of 3.

In the early trading hours of the Asian session, RBA Governor Lowe will be delivering a speech and the AiG will publish its Performance of Services Index.

USD preserves strength ahead of NFP

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index on Thursday advanced to its highest level since the second week of October at 98.57 to further weigh on the pair. Dallas Fed President Kaplan said that the coronavirus outbreak was unlikely to impact the Federal Reserve's policy stance and reiterated that he was expecting the policy rate to remain unchanged throughout 2020.

Additionally, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Nonfarm Labor Productivity in the fourth quarter improved to +1.4% from -0.2% and Unit Labor Costs rose 1.4% as expected. As of writing, the index was up 0.2% on the day at 98.45.

Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday will be the last significant catalyst of the week for the greenback.

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6741
Today Daily Change-0.0004
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open0.6745
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6817
Daily SMA500.6862
Daily SMA1000.6834
Daily SMA2000.6866
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6775
Previous Daily Low0.6723
Previous Weekly High0.6829
Previous Weekly Low0.6682
Previous Monthly High0.704
Previous Monthly Low0.6682
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6755
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6743
Daily Pivot Point S10.672
Daily Pivot Point S20.6696
Daily Pivot Point S30.6668
Daily Pivot Point R10.6772
Daily Pivot Point R20.68
Daily Pivot Point R30.6824

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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