|

AUD/USD climbs back closer to 0.6500 mark, lacks follow-through

  • AUD/USD managed to reverse an early dip to 0.6035-30 area and refreshed session tops.
  • China suspends some meat imports from Australian producers and weighed on the aussie.
  • The downside remained cushioned amid a subdued USD demand, sliding US bond yields.

The AUD/USD pair managed to recover over 60 pips from daily swing lows, albeit struggled to extend the momentum and remained below the key 0.6500 psychological mark.

The pair extended the previous session's retracement slide from the 0.6560-70 supply zone and witnessed some selling during the Asian session on Tuesday. Reports that China had suspended some meat imports from Australian producers turned out to be one of the key factors that exerted some pressure on the aussie.

Meanwhile, the recent optimism over easing lockdown restrictions was overshadowed by fears about the second wave of coronavirus infections and weighed on investors' sentiment. This was evident from a weaker tone surrounding the equity markets and further undermined demand for the perceived riskier Australian dollar.

On the other hand, the US dollar was seen consolidating its recent gains to two-week amid a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields and speculations that the Fed might be forced to push interest rates below zero. This, in turn, helped limit deeper losses for the AUD/USD pair, rather attract some dip-buying at lower levels.

It, however, remains to be seen if the pair is able to capitalize on the intraday uptick or continues with its struggle to sustain above 100-day SMA pivotal point. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying beyond the mentioned barrier before positioning for any further near-term appreciating move.

Moving ahead, investors now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures. This along with scheduled speeches by FOMC members might influence the USD price dynamics and produce some meaningful trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6487
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open0.6489
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6418
Daily SMA500.6285
Daily SMA1000.6537
Daily SMA2000.6673
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6562
Previous Daily Low0.6457
Previous Weekly High0.6549
Previous Weekly Low0.6372
Previous Monthly High0.657
Previous Monthly Low0.598
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6497
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6522
Daily Pivot Point S10.6443
Daily Pivot Point S20.6397
Daily Pivot Point S30.6338
Daily Pivot Point R10.6549
Daily Pivot Point R20.6608
Daily Pivot Point R30.6654

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses below 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot below 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand and reports that ECB President Lagarde will step down before the end of her term. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts. 

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report. 

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path. 

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.