|

AUD/USD bulls reclaimed 0.6900 as the USD wobbles

  • A risk-on impulse favored risk-perceived currencies like the Australian Dollar.
  • The US housing market continues to deteriorate, as shown by Existing Home Sales plunging.
  • Fed officials favor a deceleration of rate hikes, though the higher-for-longer stance remains unchanged.

The AUD/USD edged higher in the mid-North American session on Friday, following a soft employment report from Australia that spurred a fall beneath 0.6900. Friday, the story is different, with the AUD/USD recovering some ground while the US Dollar (USD) is pairing its earlier gains. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD is trading at 0.69600, above its opening price by 0.74%.

AUD/USD climbed, underpinned by investors upbeat mood, soft USD

Wall Street continues to portray investors’ positive mood. Data from the United States (US) flashes deterioration, as Existing Home Sales for December plunged 1.5%, its lowest level since November 2010, according to the National Association of Realtors.

“December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “However, expect sales to pick up again soon since mortgage rates have markedly declined after peaking late last year.”

Meanwhile, a retracement in the US Dollar Index, which tracks the buck’s performance against its peers, prints minimal gains of 0.06%, at 102.123, after hitting a daily high of 102.552. Contrarily, US Treasury yields advance, with the 10-year benchmark note rate up nine bps, at 3.488%.

In the meantime, a couple of Fed officials crossed newswires. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, opened the door for a downshift in interest rate increases, saying, “Hikes of 25 basis points will be appropriate going forward.” He expects the US economy to grow by 1% and the unemployment rate to jump to 4.5% from 3.5%. Later, KansasCiti Fed President Esther George said that the Federal Reserve must be “patient” to see if inflation in the services sector is waning.

AUD/USD Key Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6957
Today Daily Change0.0045
Today Daily Change %0.65
Today daily open0.6912
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6847
Daily SMA500.6775
Daily SMA1000.6639
Daily SMA2000.6822
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6948
Previous Daily Low0.6872
Previous Weekly High0.6994
Previous Weekly Low0.686
Previous Monthly High0.6893
Previous Monthly Low0.6629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6901
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6919
Daily Pivot Point S10.6874
Daily Pivot Point S20.6835
Daily Pivot Point S30.6797
Daily Pivot Point R10.695
Daily Pivot Point R20.6987
Daily Pivot Point R30.7026

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant below 0.7050 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.



USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold struggles to build on recovery from YTD low as Fed hike bets cap gains

Gold kicks off the new week on a positive note, snapping a two-day losing streak and reversing part of Friday's heavy losses to sub-$3,900 levels, or its lowest since October 2025. The optimism over a potential diplomatic breakthrough to end the US-Iran war caps the safe-haven US Dollar, and offers some support to the commodity. Meanwhile, US Federal Reserve rate hike bets remain firmly on the table amid oil-driven inflation concerns and might act as a headwind for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple rebound as November begins after a losing October

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple recover slightly on Monday after closing October with four straight weeks of losses. BTC climbs above $78,462 after finding support around its key support zones, while ETH rebounds above $2,295 but remains below key Exponential Moving Averages, keeping its near-term outlook bearish.

Middle East War updates: Iran warns of expanded strikes against US despite progress in talks

Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.