AUD/NZD and rates outlook: bullish bais - Westpac

Ross J Burland FXStreet

Analysts at Westpac offered their outlook for the antipodean cross and rates.

Key Quotes:

"AUD/NZD 1 day: The 1.0710 level has been a formidable obstacle. We expected further consolidation in a 1.0630-1.0710 range ahead of an eventual push higher.

AUD/NZD 1-3 month: Higher to the 1.0770 area at least. The cross remains well below fair value estimates implied by interest rates, commodity prices and risk sentiment. (17 Feb)

AU swap yields 1 day: The 3yr and 10yr should open around 2.14% and 3.06%, respectively.

AU swap yields 1-3 month: The 3yr has probably based at 1.60%, the RBA expected to sit tight at a 1.5% cash rate for some time.

NZ swap yields 1 day: NZ 2yr swap rates should open unchanged at 2.33%, the 10yr unchanged at 3.53%.

NZ swap yields 1-3 month: The RBNZ said it has ended its easing cycle and will remain on hold until 2020. That will anchor the short end, although markets will not abandon their expectations for earlier tightening which means occasional spikes in the 2yr will be likely. The long end will continue to follow mainly US yields, which we expect to rise. That means the curve steepening trend should continue."

Author

Ross J Burland

FXStreet

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

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