|

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Yen strength keeps 110.00 in sight

  • AUD/JPY extends four-day slide beneath 200-day SMA resistance.
  • Bearish RSI confirms sellers retain control near 110.50 support.
  • Break below 110.00 exposes 108.79 and 107.69 next.

The Australian Dollar weakens versus the Japanese Yen as risk-appetite shifted sour due to the escalation of the US-Iran conflict, which has broadened to a fight between Yemen’s Houthis vs Saudi Arabia, who fight for control of the Red Sea. The AUD/JPY exchange rate is 110.53, down 0.27%.

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

Price action shows the AUD/JPY trading sideways beneath the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 110.88, extending the bearish trend for four straight days since the last positive day on September 4.

This shows that threats of US Treasury Secretary Bessent worked in favor of the Yen, but mostly against other currencies except for the Greenback, which continued to outperform the JPY.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains bearish, confirming further AUD/JPY downside.

The first AUD/JPY support is 110.50, followed by the psychological 110.00 level. Beneath is the March 31 daily low of 108.79 and the February 13 cycle low of 107.69.

Should the AUD/JPY clear the 200-day SMA, the cross could reach the 111.00 figure in the near-term. A breach of those two levels will immediately expose the 50-day SMA at 112.88 ahead of the 100-day SMA at 113.09.

AUD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

AUD/JPY daily chart

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.20%0.25%0.56%0.22%0.82%0.61%0.35%
EUR-0.20%0.07%0.34%0.02%0.62%0.41%0.15%
GBP-0.25%-0.07%0.29%-0.04%0.57%0.35%0.10%
JPY-0.56%-0.34%-0.29%-0.35%0.26%0.02%-0.21%
CAD-0.22%-0.02%0.04%0.35%0.60%0.38%0.14%
AUD-0.82%-0.62%-0.57%-0.26%-0.60%-0.21%-0.45%
NZD-0.61%-0.41%-0.35%-0.02%-0.38%0.21%-0.21%
CHF-0.35%-0.15%-0.10%0.21%-0.14%0.45%0.21%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD meets support near 0.7150

AUD/USD comes under renewed and quite strong selling pressure ahead of the Asia opening bell on Friday, drifting back toward multi-day troughs near 0.7150, where it seems to have met some decent contention for now. The Aussie’s decline follows the inflation-reignited uptick in the Greenback in response to robust US factory-gate prices in August.


USD/JPY consolidates around 153.50 as bears turn cautious ahead of US inflation

USD/JPY stabilizes above 153.50 during the Asian session on Thursday, but remains near a seven-month low set earlier this week as hawkish BoJ repricing continues to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, rising September Fed rate-hike bets and escalating US-Iran tensions help ease US Dollar selling pressure, offering some support to the currency pair ahead of US inflation figures.

Gold remains weak, retargets $4,350

Gold keeps the choppy price action on Thursday, now slipping back toward the $4,350 region per troy ounce amid the robust bounce in the US Dollar as well as rising US Treasury yields across the curve, particularly following US Producer Prices and ahead of Friday’s more relevant US CPI data.

Bitcoin holds steady on positive ETF flows despite short-term holders cashing in

Bitcoin's exchange-traded funds (ETF) demand regime has notably shifted, with 30-day net inflows reaching $21.9 billion, according to a Thursday post by CryptoQuant. The data suggests that the average Bitcoin held through spot ETFs is now in profit, with the realized price of the ETF cohort standing at roughly $72,000 to $73,000.

ECB recap: A hawkish hike despite downside growth risks
The European Central Bank (ECB) increased the Deposit Facility Rate to 2.50%, the Refinancing Rate to 2.65% and the Marginal Lending Facility to 2.90%, effective from September 16. The decision was accompanied by a clear warning that the outlook remains highly uncertain, with risks tilted to the upside for inflation and to the downside for growth.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.