|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Trades sideways around 91.70s despite an upbeat mood

  • The AUD/JPY trades sideways, within a busy area surrounded by all the daily Moving Averages.
  • AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Range-bound within the 91.57-89 area.

The AUD/JPY fluctuates as the Asian session begins, registering minuscule gains of 0.07%, exchanging hands at around 91.73. A risk-on impulse bolstered the Australian Dollar(AUD), while the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) newly appointed Governor Kazuo Ueda’s dovish comments were a headwind for the Japanese Yen (JPY).

With the AUD/JPY bottoming around the 91.30 area in the last couple of days, price action is contained within the confluence of all the daily Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) around the 91.57-89 area. Furthermore, the AUD/JPY is trading sideways as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shifts flat, meaning buyers and sellers are at equilibrium.

If the AUD/JPY clears the top of the range, the next resistance would be 92.00. A breach of the latter will expose the February 21 high at 93.00, followed by the December 13 high at 93.35. Once reclaimed, the AUD/JPY’s next stop would be the psychological 94.00 barrier.

As an alternate scenario, sellers would exert downward pressure on the pair if the AUD/JPY clears a one-month-old upslope support trendline. The AUD/JPY  first support would be the 91.00 figure. Break below, and the pair would fall toward the February 10 swing low at 90.22 and then the 90.00 psychological level.

AUD/JPY Daily chart

AUD/JPY Key technical levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price91.77
Today Daily Change0.01
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open91.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA2091.82
Daily SMA5090.83
Daily SMA10092.11
Daily SMA20093.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High91.94
Previous Daily Low91.31
Previous Weekly High93.01
Previous Weekly Low91.31
Previous Monthly High92.82
Previous Monthly Low87.41
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%91.7
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%91.55
Daily Pivot Point S191.4
Daily Pivot Point S291.04
Daily Pivot Point S390.77
Daily Pivot Point R192.03
Daily Pivot Point R292.3
Daily Pivot Point R392.67

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at three-week highs above 0.7000 on hawkish RBA-speak

AUD/USD holds a positive bias for the fourth straight day, trading above 0.7000 in the Asian session on Wednesday and at three-week highs. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser's hawkish remarks and inflation concerns underpin the pair. However, the upside appears capped as the US Dollar attracts some buyers amid looming US-Iran uncertainty.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range below 158.50

USD/JPY sees some dip-buying in the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range near 158.50 as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold bounces off weekly low; Fed hike bets and modest USD recovery keep upside limited

Gold recovers slightly from the weekly low, around the $4,100 neighborhood, though the upside potential seems limited amid a bearish fundamental backdrop. Inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices underpin prospects for further policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve. Furthermore, a modest US Dollar recovery from a near three-week low could contribute to capping bullion.

Zcash's bullish reversal eyes $1,698 peak on NU7 upgrade
Zcash (ZEC) shows signs of bullish recovery above $1,200 on Wednesday, following a 9% rebound the previous day linked to the upcoming NU7 upgrade. Blockworks released a Zcash holders report on Tuesday, highlighting steady network growth. The technical outlook for ZEC is bullish, with bulls eyeing an extended rally toward $1,698.
US – Midterm update: Pre-election tail risk scenarios
With two weeks until the US midterm elections on 3 November, early voting has already opened in more than 40 states. Prediction markets are broadly unchanged since we published our Midterm update, 13 October. The prediction market Polymarket continues to see Democrats winning both chambers as the most likely outcome, with a 62.5% probability.
The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.