|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Subdued around current levels amid mixed signals from BoJ

  • AUD/JPY trades at 94.22, almost flat as Tuesday's session begins.
  • BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hints at the end of negative interest rates, sparking short-lived gains in JPY.
  • Technical indicators suggest a neutral bias, with both buyers and sellers awaiting a fresh catalyst.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) posted minuscule gains on Monday versus the Japanese Yen (JPY), after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda made comments that the end of negative interest rates is possible if data warrants it. Hence, market participants priced in a possible monetary policy normalization as the JPY registered solid gains. Nevertheless, they were short-lived, as shown by the AUD/JPY pair. At the time of writing, the cross trades at 94.22, almost flat, as Tuesday’s session begins.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The daily chart portrays the pair as neutral biased, with no clear bias, as the pair forms a symmetrical triangle preceded by a downtrend. Also, the Senkou Span A and B lines that form the Ichimoku Clous (Kumo) and the Tenkan and Kijun-Sen are flat. That said, neither buyers nor sellers are in charge, awaiting a fresh catalyst that directs the AUD/JPY pair.

From an hourly chart perspective, the pair finished Monday’s session near the session’s highs, suggesting an upward bias. Hence, the AUD/JPY first resistance would be the September 11 high at 94.45, followed by the September 4 swing high at 94.70, before challenging 95.00. Conversely, the first support would be the top of the Kumo at 94.10, followed by the 94.00 figure. A breach of that area would shift the bias downwards.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Hourly chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price94.26
Today Daily Change-0.02
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open94.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA2094.06
Daily SMA5094.42
Daily SMA10093.53
Daily SMA20091.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High94.46
Previous Daily Low93.59
Previous Weekly High94.72
Previous Weekly Low93.59
Previous Monthly High95.81
Previous Monthly Low92.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%94.13
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%93.92
Daily Pivot Point S193.76
Daily Pivot Point S293.24
Daily Pivot Point S392.89
Daily Pivot Point R194.63
Daily Pivot Point R294.98
Daily Pivot Point R395.49

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.