|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Heavy losses drag pair near 88.60 as bearish momentum accelerates

  • AUD/JPY plunged near the 88.60 zone on Friday, marking a sharp retreat ahead of the Asian session.
  • MACD confirms a sell signal as the pair faces broad bearish pressure despite neutral oscillators.
  • Key resistance stands at 91.53 and 92.92, while moving averages point to extended downside risk.

The AUD/JPY pair tumbled aggressively on Friday, retreating toward the 88.60 area after shedding over 4% during the day. The move represents one of the steepest intraday declines in recent sessions, dragging the pair away from the recent highs and into a mid-range zone between 87.41 and 92.64. The plunge comes as broader technicals align in favor of sellers, even as some oscillators remain neutral.

Daily chart

Technical indicators reflect a clearly bearish outlook. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is flashing a strong sell signal, reinforcing downside momentum. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 25.56, still neutral but nearing oversold territory. Other momentum measures, such as the Awesome Oscillator (-1.112) and the Ultimate Oscillator (36.03), also remain in neutral zones, suggesting that the momentum may still be building rather than exhausted.

Supportive of the bearish structure, all key moving averages are aligned lower. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 93.72, the 100-day SMA at 96.42, and the 200-day SMA at 98.35 are all reinforcing sustained downside pressure. The 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and 10-day SMA, both hovering around 92.92–93.61, now act as firm resistance following the latest breakdown.

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold targets $4,300 amid stronger Dollar

Gold faces increasing selling interest and navigates the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.