AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Cross jumps sharply but bearish signals persist

AUD/JPY surged, seen trading near the 91.00 zone after a strong intraday rally
Despite the bullish move, key indicators still suggest an overall bearish technical backdrop
Short-term resistance is seen near 91.20 and 91.90, with support holding around 90.90 and 87.30

Patricio Martín FXStreet

The AUD/JPY pair staged a sharp rebound on Wednesday’s session ahead of the Asian open, climbing toward the 91.00 area after rising more than 4% during the day. Despite the aggressive intraday bounce, technical indicators and moving averages continue to flash bearish signals, hinting at lingering downside risk even as short-term momentum turns positive.

The pair is currently trading near the upper boundary of the day’s range, which spanned from 86.05 to 91.27, suggesting strong bullish pressure. However, several technical readings temper the optimism. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 42.71, still within neutral territory, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) issues a sell signal. Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) at 29.69 and the Ultimate Oscillator at 48.82 both reflect neutral momentum.

Moving averages reinforce the broader bearish narrative. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 93.11, 100-day SMA at 96.08, and 200-day SMA at 98.08 all slope downward. Additionally, the 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 91.19 and the 10-day SMA at 91.89 are positioned above current price levels, acting as immediate resistance zones.

Daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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