|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Conquers the 50-day EMA, reclaims 95.00 on upbeat mood

  • AUD/JPY has climbed for two-straight days after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) intervention and is up by 0.87% in the week.
  • The AUD/JPY daily chart is upward-biased, and if it clears 95.44, a retest of 96.40 is on the cards, ahead f the YTD high at 98.60.

The AUD/JPY rebounded at the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and rose to Wednesday’s daily high at 95.44 before trimming some gains. However, the cross-currency finished the day with a half-percentage point gain. As the Thursday Asian Pacific session begins, the AUD/JPY is trading at 95.03, flat.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The AUD/JPY daily chart delineates the pair trading upwards, as the upward bias remains intact. Worth noticing that on its way toward 95.00, the cross-currency pair cleared the 50-day EMA, shifting the bias from neutral-upwards to upwards, opening the door for further gains. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory, and the slope turned flat, meaning that the AUD/JPY might consolidate before resuming the ongoing uptrend.

Upwards, the AUD/JPY’s first resistance would be October’s 26 daily high at 95.44, followed by the 96.00 figure, and the September 22 daily high at 96.40. Conversely, the AUD/JPY’s first support would be the 50-day EMA at 94.64. A breach of the latter will send the cross sliding towards the 100-day EMA at 94.17, followed by the 20-day EMA at 93.45.

AUD/JPY Key Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price95.04
Today Daily Change0.43
Today Daily Change %0.45
Today daily open94.61
 
Trends
Daily SMA2093.36
Daily SMA5094.62
Daily SMA10094.22
Daily SMA20091.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High94.67
Previous Daily Low93.87
Previous Weekly High95.75
Previous Weekly Low92.13
Previous Monthly High98.58
Previous Monthly Low92.13
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%94.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%94.18
Daily Pivot Point S194.1
Daily Pivot Point S293.58
Daily Pivot Point S393.29
Daily Pivot Point R194.9
Daily Pivot Point R295.19
Daily Pivot Point R395.7

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).