Uniswap price eyes 20% upswing if UNI can clear this crucial barrier

Uniswap price reverses its downtrend and is on its way to set up higher highs. The bullishness around UNI comes as investors are expecting t UNI price to see a quick run-up as the crypto market also sees a minor upswing.

Uniswap price to continue its ascent

Uniswap price has rallied roughly 11% over the past 24 hours after it sliced through the $18.73 swing low. This upswing is likely to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) that extends up to $21.13 and make a run at the $22.36 resistance level.

The buy stop liquidity resting above these highs will be the market makers’ first target. Beyond this area is another FVG, extending from $22.49 to $24.51. So, investors can expect UNI to breeze through this area with ease. Resting above the $24.78 is another set of buy stops that the market makers will target.

This run-up will constitute a 20% surge in Uniswap price. 

UNI/USDT 4-hour chart

The technicals are pointing at a bullish outlook for Uniswap price, and on-chain metrics also hint at a similar outlook. Take, for example, the 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) model.

This on-chain metric is used to determine the average profit/loss of investors that purchased UNI over the past month. Since this indicator is hovering around -5%, it indicates that investors are at a loss. This area is where market participants accumulate the assets, suggesting it is an excellent place to see UNI price grow.

UNI 365-day MVRV chart

While things are looking up for Uniswap price, there is one hindrance that bulls will face in its upward journey. IntoTheBlock’s In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) model shows a massive cluster of underwater investors at $20.84. Here, roughly 6,680 addresses purchased nearly 183 million of UNI.

These “Out of the Money” investors are likely to pose a threat to the upswing as they could sell their holdings to breakeven. Therefore, clearing this level will remove the sell-side pressure and trigger an upswing for Uniswap price.

UNI IOMAP chart

A rejection at $20.84 that results in Uniswap price correcting to $18.73 will be questionable and indicate that sellers are running amok. In such a situation, if UNI produces a daily close below $17.76, it will create a lower low and invalidate the bullish thesis.