|

Pump.fun Price Forecast: PUMP trims gains, shrugging off $12 million single-day token buyback 

  • Pump.fun corrects 8% from its weekly high as cryptocurrencies claw back intraday gains on Wednesday.
  • Pump.fun ramps of token buybacks, scoops up $12 million of PUMP from circulating supply.
  • Cumulative buybacks increase to approximately 7.4 billion PUMP valued at $43.4 million.

Pump.fun (PUMP) is reversing part of the gains amid volatile sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market. The token native to Pump.fun meme coin launchpad is trading at $0.00384, down over 4% at the time of writing on Wednesday. 

Pump.fun accelerates token buyback program 

Pump.fun team accelerated its token buyback program with nearly $12 million worth of PUMP removed from circulation on Tuesday. According to the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystem tracking platform Dune, the single-day activity propelled the cumulative buybacks to 7.4 billion PUMP valued at $43.4 billion.

PUMP buyback stats | Source: Dune

The average cost of the buybacks is $0.0045, significantly higher than PUMP’s current market price of $0.0038. PUMP has a total supply of 1 trillion. Of this, 147.5 billion tokens were sold in the public sale, representing 14.8%.

Despite the correction in price, key metrics such as token Holder Growth are steadily rising. With over 66,000 unique wallets, speculative demand for PUMP could reinforce the bullish grip, paving the way for recovery above resistance at $0.0040.

PUMP Holder Growth | Source: Dune

Technical outlook: PUMP holds key support 

PUMP price shows signs of recovery after testing support at $0.0037, backed by a Golden Cross pattern that could be confirmed in upcoming sessions if speculative demand increases.

A Golden Cross is a bullish pattern that forms when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average. As observed on the 4-hour chart below, the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently crossing above the 100-period EMA, indicating positive market sentiment.

PUMP/USDT 4-hour chart

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator highlights a buy signal with the blue line holding above the red signal line. 

Still, if the MACD line crosses below the red signal line as the indicator declines toward the midline, the path of least resistance could remain downward, raising the probability of PUMP dropping toward the confluence support formed by the 50-period EMA and the 200-period EMA at around $0.0034.

Cryptocurrency metrics FAQs

The developer or creator of each cryptocurrency decides on the total number of tokens that can be minted or issued. Only a certain number of these assets can be minted by mining, staking or other mechanisms. This is defined by the algorithm of the underlying blockchain technology. On the other hand, circulating supply can also be decreased via actions such as burning tokens, or mistakenly sending assets to addresses of other incompatible blockchains.

Market capitalization is the result of multiplying the circulating supply of a certain asset by the asset’s current market value.

Trading volume refers to the total number of tokens for a specific asset that has been transacted or exchanged between buyers and sellers within set trading hours, for example, 24 hours. It is used to gauge market sentiment, this metric combines all volumes on centralized exchanges and decentralized exchanges. Increasing trading volume often denotes the demand for a certain asset as more people are buying and selling the cryptocurrency.

Funding rates are a concept designed to encourage traders to take positions and ensure perpetual contract prices match spot markets. It defines a mechanism by exchanges to ensure that future prices and index prices periodic payments regularly converge. When the funding rate is positive, the price of the perpetual contract is higher than the mark price. This means traders who are bullish and have opened long positions pay traders who are in short positions. On the other hand, a negative funding rate means perpetual prices are below the mark price, and hence traders with short positions pay traders who have opened long positions.

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ethereum Price Forecast: Long-term holders' capitulation drives ETH below $1,800

Ethereum has fallen below $1,800 on Wednesday, the first time since May 2025 following accelerated spot selling pressure and distributions from long-term holders.

XRP and XLM outlook: Bearish streak extends as risk-off mood erodes retail demand, ETF flows

Ripple and Stellar prices face intense selling pressure, extending losses on Thursday for the fourth consecutive day this week. Cross-border remittance tokens are losing retail sentiment, while XRP faces additional pressure from Exchange-Traded Fund outflows. 

Bitcoin drops below $65K amid reinforced bear market signals

Bitcoin dipped further below $65,000 with onchain data from Glassnode signaling a market firmly in a bear phase. The decline has pushed prices back into a key valuation range between the Realized Price and the True Market Mean.

Grayscale launches Hyperliquid staking ETF, undercutting rival fees

Grayscale announced the launch of its Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG) on Wednesday, now trading on Nasdaq. The fund offers investors direct exposure to HYPE and incorporates staking rewards, which the company claims have historically ranged from 2.2% to 2.3% annually.

Billions in ETF outflows don’t bode well
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $74,000 on Friday, and is set to post its third consecutive week of losses. The institutional sell-off continues, with spot BTC Exchange-Traded funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows. In addition, sticky inflation and macroeconomic headwinds suppress the Crypto King’s upside potential. Institutional demand continues to weaken so far this week.