|

Monero Price Forecast: XMR bulls target double-digit gains amid market volatility

  • Monero price stabilizes after retesting and bouncing from its ascending trendline, eyeing a recovery ahead.
  • Coinglass data shows that the XMR long-to-short ratio reaches the highest level in over a month, indicating more traders are betting Monero’s price to rise.
  • A daily candlestick close below $195.72 would invalidate the bullish thesis.

Despite the recent market correction this week, Monero’s (XMR) price stabilizes above $220 at the time of writing on Wednesday after retesting its ascending trendline and finding support around  $195 on Monday. Coinglass data shows that the XMR long-to-short ratio reaches the highest level in over a month, indicating more traders are betting Monero’s price will rally.

Monero price looks promising 

Monero’s price bounced after retesting its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on Monday, closing above its ascending trendline (drawn from connecting multiple highs since mid-November). However, it declined 2.2% the next day. At the time of writing on Wednesday, it hovers around $223.51.

If XMR continues its upward trend, it could extend the rally by 18% from its current trading levels to retest its April 26, 2022, high of $262.50.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 54 and points upwards, indicating increasing bullish momentum.

XMR/USDT daily chart

XMR/USDT daily chart

Another bullish sign is Coinglass’s XMR long-to-short ratio, which reads 1.21, the highest level in over a month. This ratio above one reflects bullish sentiment in the markets as more traders are betting for the asset price to rise.

XMR long-to-short ratio chart. Source: Coinglass

XMR long-to-short ratio chart. Source: Coinglass

However, if XMR declines, breaks below the ascending trendline and closes below the 200-day EMA at $195.72, the bullish thesis would be invalidated. This scenario would lead to an additional decline to test its next daily support level at $181.43.

Author

Manish Chhetri

Manish Chhetri is a crypto specialist with over four years of experience in the cryptocurrency industry.

More from Manish Chhetri
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.