|

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH/USD risks a break below 200-HMA amid bearish RSI

  • ETH/USD bears await fresh impetus for the next leg down.
  • Path of least resistance is to the downside in the near-term.
  • The coin eyes $223.31 on a breach of key 200-HMA support.

Despite the latest drop, Ethereum (ETH/USD) remains confined within its $10 week-long trading range. The second-most widely traded crypto asset reverses more than half the late Saturday rally to $230.84, as sellers return amid thin volumes and minimal volatility so far this Sunday. The price seems exposed to an additional downside, as it now loses over 1% to trade around the $226.75 region. The spot enjoys a market capitalization of about $ 25.31 billion while it looks to settle the week 2% higher.

Short-term technical outlook

ETH/USD: Hourly chart

fxsoriginal

As observed in the hourly sticks, the no. 2 coin is challenging the key 200-hourly Simple Moving Average (HMA) support at $226.44. A break below the latter is inevitable given the hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding below the 50 level, the bearish territory.

The immediate cushion for the ETH bulls awaits at the rising trendline support of $225.45. Selling pressure is likely to intensify below that level, opening floors for a test of Thursday’s low of $223.31, which could keep the buyers’ hopeful.

Meanwhile, the price faces immediate resistance at the horizontal 50-HMA of $227.02. Acceptance above the last could see the next barrier at $227.80 on the buyers’ radar. The 21 and 100-HMA coincide at the level.

Further north, the critical horizontal trendline resistance at $230.86 will be eyed. Note that Saturday’s high was at $230.84.

ETH/USD: Additional levels of note

ETH/USD

Overview
Today last price226.74
Today Daily Change-2.57
Today Daily Change %-1.12
Today daily open229.33
 
Trends
Daily SMA20230.55
Daily SMA50227.54
Daily SMA100202.2
Daily SMA200190.62
 
Levels
Previous Daily High230.84
Previous Daily Low224.62
Previous Weekly High232.81
Previous Weekly Low217.81
Previous Monthly High253.48
Previous Monthly Low216.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%228.47
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%227
Daily Pivot Point S1225.68
Daily Pivot Point S2222.04
Daily Pivot Point S3219.46
Daily Pivot Point R1231.91
Daily Pivot Point R2234.49
Daily Pivot Point R3238.13

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP extends recovery as on-chain activity grows
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH continues July uptrend with 20% rise after triggering buy signal
Ethereum (ETH) has gained 3% on Tuesday, extending its July gains above 20% after key on-chain indicators highlighted a resumption of buying activity. The strong performance so far in July comes a few days after ETH triggered the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Buy signal. ETH has been up by roughly 22% since the signal.
Chainlink becomes top 20 best performer, 3 reasons behind the move
Chainlink (LINK) has become the best-performing asset in the top 20 this week, leading every other major cryptocurrency. The cryptocurrency jumped 10.18% to $8.71, its highest level since early June. Three major factors explain the double-digit rise over the past week.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend rebound amid returning institutional capital inflows
Cryptocurrency prices extend a broad recovery, led by Bitcoin (BTC), trading above $66,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday. Ethereum (ETH) remains bullish above $1,940, after logging four straight days of gains. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) hovers around $1.13, building on the reclaimed $1.10 critical level.
Bitcoin’s potential recovery in the second half hinges on these 4 catalysts
Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen over 34% in the first half of this year as the King Crypto failed to capitalize on a good semester for risk assets despite the woes from the Iran war.