|

Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH/USD may retest $200.00 before the recovery is resumed

  • ETH/USD experienced a sharp sell-off triggered by technical factors.
  • The coin may retest $200.00 before the buyers return to the market.

The second-largest digital asset resumed the decline and dropped from $210 to $206.00 in a matter of an hour. At the time of writing, ETH/USD is changing hands at $206.30. Despite the sell-off the price has stayed mostly unchanged both on a day-to-day basis and since the beginning of Sunday. The short-term trend is bearish, while the volatility is growing.

ETH/USD: Technical picture

On the intraday chart, ETH broke below above 1-hour SMA100 (currently at $206.50) and tested the lower line of the 1-hour Bollinger Band at $205.80. This development is a negative technical signal in the short run. If the price fails to regain ground we may see a follow-through towards psychological $200.00, which is reinforced by 4-hour SMA200. This barrier is likely t attract new buyers to the market; however, a move below this area will worsen the technical picture and bring more sellers back to the market. They will target at the recent low of $191.49 and the daily SMA100 below $190.00.
 

Meanwhile, the RSI on an intraday chart is reversing to the upside, which means the sell-off may be limited and the coin may continue moving upwards in the nearest hours. 

On the upside, the initial resistance is created by a combination of 1-hour SMA50 and SMA200 at $207.50. If it is broken, the recovery may be extended towards $210.00 and $215.00

ETH/USD 1-hour chart

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP approaches key support as risk-off sentiment deepens
Ripple (XRP) is trading at $1.06 on Monday, maintaining its position within a broader bearish trend. The token’s technical outlook continues to deteriorate, pressured by declining retail participation. Appetite for risk assets remains lethargic, as reflected in the Fear & Greed Index, which is embedded in the Fear territory at 28.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend decline amid renewed risk-averse sentiment
The cryptocurrency market remains weak on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling toward the nearest $62,000. Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) reflect the sell-off across altcoins, edging lower toward $1,800 and $1.05, respectively. Risk appetite remains subdued, as the Fear & Greed Index holds steady at 28, deep within Fear territory.
The Bitcoin futures yield collapse: Once over 20%, now less than Treasury notes
Once a goldmine for carry traders, Bitcoin futures have flipped, consistently underperforming plain‑vanilla U.S. Treasuries every month since February. Carry trades consistently yielded 20% or more across regulated and unregulated crypto exchanges during the 2021 bull market. The strategy involved shorting Bitcoin futures while simultaneously buying a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF).
The crypto market is moving in the opposite direction to equities
The crypto market’s market capitalisation has fallen by 1% over the past 24 hours, returning to levels last seen in mid-July. The positive momentum the market showed in the first half of last week failed to take hold. Once again, we are seeing a negative correlation with the Nasdaq 100 index, this time in the form of falling cryptocurrencies while shares rise. Could this be becoming the new norm?
Bitcoin: Bulls hold the line
Bitcoin (BTC) edges slightly lower, trading at $64,300 at the time of writing on Friday but holding firmly above a key support zone. US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) support BTC as they continued to attract institutional flows through Thursday, pointing to the fourth consecutive week of net inflows.