Ethereum breaks 3000 in bullish wave 3 after weekend gap

As mentioned in our previous analysis, price action managed to complete its correction at the 21 emas and support trend line (green) for a continuation higher. Let’s now review the next steps.

Price charts and technical analysis

The ETH/USD gapped higher over the weekend. The price action reached is now passing the -61.8% Fibonacci target (orange) after bouncing at the 38.2% Fibonacci level:

1. The current push up is confirming a strong rally - see the bars and lines on the AO and ecs.MACD (pink box) - within waves 3 (purple/red).

2. Also the moving averages (MAs) are confirming a full uptrend. The MAs are aligned, show a strong bullish angle, and the distance between them is increasing.

3. We can evaluate today’s daily candlestick when the candle closes. 

   1. A strong candle close indicates that the bulls are fully in control and a push higher is likely (green arrow)

   2. A weaker candle close indicates that a pullback or a pauze could take place first. But the uptrend is so strong that a continuation higher is expected (blue arrow).

4. The next Fibonacci target is located at the -100% Fib level near $3,500.

On the 4 hour chart, price action made a wave 1-2 (orange) pullback indeed after completing an ABC (orange) pattern in wave 4 (grey):

1. The current bullish move up is typical for a wave 3 (orange). 

   1. Price action has already passed the -261.8% Fibonacci target for instance. 

   2. And also, the angle of the price swing is very steep.

2. A pullback does not have to be a wave 4 (orange) of this degree. It could easily be a pullback on a lower degree before the wave 3 (orange) is ready.

3. Eventually, price action will complete a wave 3 (orange) and a pullback to and bounce at the 21 emas and Fibonacci levels around $2900, $3000, and $3250 (in case price reaches $3500) is likely.

The analysis has been done with the ecs.SWAT method and ebook.