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Elon Musk advocates a carbon tax, praises Dogecoin, pans Bitcoin

The ever erratic Elon Musk is back with a strange set of Tweets sending Dogecoin higher.

Tesla Will No Longer Accept Bitcoin

High Time For a Carbon Tax

Bitcoin and Coal

Working With Doge Developers

Developers? What Developers?

Futurism noted the Twitter account associated with actual Dogecoin developers immediately distanced itself from the project.

Excuse me for pointing out that working with app developers will not do a damn thing for mining efficiency and its mining that creates energy demand.

App Developers 

Mobile apps development firm AppSwarm Corp and blockchain research lab and startup accelerator DogeLabs.Io plan to build out a global Dogecoin development team that will focus on building applications on top of the memecoin’s blockchain.

The above snip is from Dogecoin to Get DevOps Support for Commercial Apps

Silliness of the Day

Tesla Accepting Dogecoin

People are excited by the possibility. It is fundamentally meaningless. 

People are speculating in Dogecoin. They are not going to use it to buy stuff and pay taxes on it.

Moreover, even if they did, how could it matter? Those who accept any crypto currency could immediately trade it for dollars. 

There could of course be a psychological impact by sheep willing to follow the leader over a cliff.

Questions Abound

  1. How could Elon Musk possibly have not understood the huge energy demand of Bitcoin?
  2. How much Dogecoin does does Musk have and when did he buy it?
  3. Is Musk purposely attempting to drive the cost of Dogecoin higher?

Questions #2 and #3 have been on my mind for a while. I did not ask them because I did not want to be accused of accusing Musk.

I am still not accusing Musk, but in light of these bizarre Tweets it's time to ask questions, and pointed ones.

Dogecoin is a Joke

It's important to step back and discuss dogecoin started as a joke, a parody on Bitcoin.

For details, please see Dogecoin, Created as a Joke, is the Epitome of Greater Fool Mania

Jackson Palmer, one of the creators had this to say. "It was a joke on a whim. ... I sat down with a beer and slapped doge's face on a coin and put it live. The next day there was heaps of retweets. ... We thought it would last maybe three days." 

That is what people are speculating on.

On Jan 28, Mr. Musk, the billionaire boss of electric-vehicle maker Tesla Inc., tweeted a faux “Dogue” magazine cover. Once, he shared a meme based on the movie “The Lion King,” with the Shiba Inu dog superimposed on Simba’s face. Another time, he wrote, “Who let the Doge out,” and “No highs, no lows, only Doge.” Mr. Musk renewed his interest in the cryptocurrency in April, tweeting “Doge Barking at the Moon.”

Who's Getting Rich?

The Jist has some details in Dogecoin: Another Bubble Or To The Moon?

The Dogecoin rich list on bitinfocharts.com shows that almost 50% of the total circulating supply is held within 12 wallet addresses, with one of those wallets containing 28.42% of the total supply.

Data also shows that ~60% of Doge is held in wallets older than 1 year old, with the remaining ~40% of Doge supply being held by traders for less than 1 year.

Dogecoin Price 

At the current price of $0.48 Dogecoin has a market cap of about $62 billion.

Someone could have bought Dogecoin for about a penny early this year. 

Dogecoin Math

One wallet has about 28% of the supply. That could be hedge fund, or a corporation or an individual. 

The current supply of Dogecoin is 129.5 billion as of May 9, 2021,

28% of 129.5 billion is 36,260,000,000. Purchased at a penny the purchase price would be $362,600,000.

If one made that investment at a tenth of a penny that would be $36,260,000.

Pointed Question

Who would or could throw that much money on a joke unless they knew something or could influence the market? 

Again, that wallet might not be a person and it could be someone mining and HODLing since the beginning. 

But given the bizarre Tweets, it's fair to ask what Musk's holding is and when he bought it.

Author

Mike “Mish” Shedlock's

Mike “Mish” Shedlock's

Sitka Pacific Capital Management,Llc

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor for SitkaPacific Capital Management.

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