|

Cardano price strength could propel ADA another 50%

  • Cardano price proves resilient in a sea of red in the cryptocurrency complex.
  • ADA tags cup-with-handle measured move target, yielding a 65% gain for investors.
  • Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still not overbought.

Cardano price climbs leaderboard with a surge in relative strength, providing patient investors with an opportunity to seize upon the bullish attention garnered by ADA’s lesser carbon-intensive ecosystem. Any consolidation at this point should prove to be temporary.

Cardano price at a three-year high against Bitcoin

On a Bitcoin basis, ADA has emerged convincingly from a Cup Completion Cheat pattern this month after correcting in March and April. Last week, the pair registered the largest two-week gain since January 2018 and rallied above the 50% retracement of the massive 2018-2019 decline at $0.00004592.

At last weeks’ high, ADA registered a similar weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading that preceded the tops in July 2020 and February of this year. It does recommend some caution, but any correction in the pair should be delivered through an improvement in Bitcoin price versus a sudden decline in Cardano price.

ADA/BTC weekly chart

ADA/BTC weekly chart

On May 5, guided by a 16% gain, Cardano price emerged from a cup-with-handle base, establishing a trend change for ADA following months of consolidation. The initial post-breakout price action was reluctant, but the profile of the daily volume remained unwavering, showing no signs of distribution. The awkward price action was soon reconciled with a powerful, bullish engulfing day on May 13, covering the previous six trading days and closing with a 23% gain.

In an FXStreet article published on May 13, it was concluded that Cardano price would extend the breakout from the cup-with-handle base to the measured move target of $2.40, representing a 65% gain from the handle breakout at $1.46. On May 15, Cardano price reached a high of $2.46 while overcoming the resistance of the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the April correction at $2.23.

Cardano price stumbled yesterday, but price momentum still favors higher prices moving forward. The path could be a slow, staggered advance or, if the cryptocurrency complex sentiment improves, a blow-off type of move, similar to MATIC over the last few days. The blow-off move should carry ADA to $3.00, representing a 50% gain from price at the time of writing, or even to the 261.8% extension of the April correction at $3.93.

ADA/USD daily chart

ADA/USD daily chart

Things can change instantly and often quickly in the cryptocurrency market, so investors need to be prepared for a bearish scenario. If ADA has entered a consolidation, it should hold the May 9 high at $1.89 on a daily closing basis. The next viable support arrives at the confluence of the May 13 low at $1.32, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) around $1.42.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels.

Top Crypto Gainers: Audiera, Midnight, MemeCore sustain weekend gains

Audiera (BEAT), Midnight (NIGHT), and MemeCore (M) recorded double-digit gains on Sunday and remain top performers over the last 24 hours. Audiera extends the rally while Midnight takes a breather, and MemeCore struggles at a crucial moving average. 

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA suffers from $900 million loss realization as prices bounce near $0.34

Loss realization among Cardano (ADA) holders increased sharply in December, marking one of its heaviest capitulation months since 2023. Since the beginning of the month, investors have realized over $900 million in losses as of Friday.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.