|

BTC/USD outlook: Bitcoin attacks key resistance zone, fueled by expectations of Trump's election victory

BTC/USD

BTC/USD keeps firm tone and holding near new record high (73839 posted in March) after strong acceleration on Tuesday (up 3.6% for the day) rose above 73K for the first time in 7 ½ months and spiked to the levels near all-time top.

Bitcoin is moving within a larger uptrend for the two months after correction from the record high has bottomed, with subsequent rally signaling that corrective phase is almost over.

Bitcoin benefited from geopolitical and economic uncertainty, with the latest growing expectations from Trump’s victory on US presidential election (market see Trump’s stance towards cryptos as more favorable) providing strong tailwinds to the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

Technical studies on daily chart are bullish but overbought, adding to uncertainty as the price is attacking a critical resistance zone.

Bulls cracked the trendline (72725) which marks the upper boundary of larger bull channel and firm break (through trendline and record high) is needed to generate signal of bullish continuation.

However, Tuesday’s false break through trendline (daily candle with long upper shadow warns of growing offers) and the price continuing to struggle at this zone, requires caution.

Near-term bias is expected to remain with bulls while the price holds above 72000 zone (former tops) and guard lower pivot at 70000, loss of which to likely signal deeper drop.

US economic data (GDP, labor) will be closely watched, but stronger direction signal is expected from the results of the US election.

I assume that Trump’s victory will fuel fresh acceleration higher and join analysts who see Bitcoin rallying towards 100K in coming months.

On the other hand, Harris’ victory would likely spark fresh sell-off, but unlikely to be an ‘end of the world’ for Bitcoin, as platform of Democratic party is also friendly oriented to the cryptos.

Res: 72725; 73615; 73839; 74961.
Sup: 72960; 72000; 71000; 70000.

BTCUSD

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Michael Selig assumes role as new CFTC Chair, what does this mean for crypto?

Michael Selig has been sworn in to serve as the 16th Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Selig was confirmed by the US Senate to head the commission last week, following his October nomination by the US President Donald Trump.

Crypto.com hires sports trader for event prediction market-making

Crypto.com plans to recruit a quant trader for the sports market-making team to buy and sell financial contracts related to these events. Opponents argue that internal trading desks put operators or their affiliates on the opposite side of customer trades. 

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.