|

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC at the mercy of FTX, Binance and TRON

  • Bitcoin price gets rejected at the range low at $17,593 and is likely to slip lower.
  • Investors can expect BTC to consolidate between the $17,593 to $15,462 barriers.
  • A daily candlestick close below $15,462 will invalidate the recovery thesis and trigger a correction.

Bitcoin price reveals that its quick recovery rally is coming to an end as it faces a critical hurdle. This development has pushed BTC to slide lower and could result in a consolidative structure over the next few days.

Bitcoin price to get boring soon

Bitcoin price shows a clear lack of buying pressure after a 14% upswing in the last 48 hours. This sell-side domination is happening due BTC’s encounter with the $17,593 resistance hurdle, which has played a significant role since June 2022. 

Going forward, investors can expect a rangebound movement between $17,593 and $15,462 barriers. 

However, a mild bullish scenario could evolve after a successful flip of the $17,593 hurdle into a support floor. This development will allow BTC bulls to extend higher and retest the $18,500 hurdle, which roughly coincides with the 2022 volume point of control, as discussed in this article.

Only after overcoming the $20,000 hurdle will BTC holders be able to speculate about retesting the next crucial huddle at $20,742 and the inefficiency at $22,181. 

BTCUSDT 1-day chart

BTCUSDT 1-day chart

Overall the evolution of the FTX story will decide Bitcoin’s next move. If the Sam Bankman-Fried-led BTC exchange takes an L, then the markets will ignore the hurdles to the upside and tumble.

In such a case, the next support level for investors to keep a close eye on will be $15,551. But a breakdown of this barrier will result in a brutal sell-off to the $13,500 level. There is a high probability that Bitcoin price will form a local bottom between the $13,500 and $11,989 levels, 

BTCUSDT 3-day chart

BTCUSDT 3-day chart

Regardless of the current market outlook, investors need to pay close attention to the ongoing battle between FTX and Binance and the involvement of TRON’s Justin Sun to bail out the users via a conversion of the assets using TRX. The resolution of this scuffle will be critical in providing a directional bias for the traders.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ethereum Price Forecast: Long-term holders' capitulation drives ETH below $1,800

Ethereum has fallen below $1,800 on Wednesday, the first time since May 2025 following accelerated spot selling pressure and distributions from long-term holders.

XRP and XLM outlook: Bearish streak extends as risk-off mood erodes retail demand, ETF flows

Ripple and Stellar prices face intense selling pressure, extending losses on Thursday for the fourth consecutive day this week. Cross-border remittance tokens are losing retail sentiment, while XRP faces additional pressure from Exchange-Traded Fund outflows. 

Bitcoin drops below $65K amid reinforced bear market signals

Bitcoin dipped further below $65,000 with onchain data from Glassnode signaling a market firmly in a bear phase. The decline has pushed prices back into a key valuation range between the Realized Price and the True Market Mean.

Grayscale launches Hyperliquid staking ETF, undercutting rival fees

Grayscale announced the launch of its Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG) on Wednesday, now trading on Nasdaq. The fund offers investors direct exposure to HYPE and incorporates staking rewards, which the company claims have historically ranged from 2.2% to 2.3% annually.

Billions in ETF outflows don’t bode well
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $74,000 on Friday, and is set to post its third consecutive week of losses. The institutional sell-off continues, with spot BTC Exchange-Traded funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows. In addition, sticky inflation and macroeconomic headwinds suppress the Crypto King’s upside potential. Institutional demand continues to weaken so far this week.