Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC/USD bulls aim for $11,600, but strong resistance restricts movement – Confluence Detector

  • BTC/USD has strong resistance levels at $12,300 and $11,615.
  • Correlation between BTC and gold has reached all-time high levels

BTC/USD daily confluence detector


BTC/USD has gone up from $11,568.60 to $11,596 as bulls continue to flirt around the $11,600 line. As per the daily confluence detector, there are two strong resistance levels at $12,300 and $11,615.

The $12,300-level has the Previous Month high. $11,615 has a strong confluence level highlighted by the one-week Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level and one-day Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. $12,300 has the one-week and one-month Pivot Points resistance-one.

On the downside, we have healthy support levels at $11,525 and $10,600.

$11,525 has the Previous Month high. $10,600 has the Previous Week low. Finally, the $10,600-level has the Previous Week low.

Bitcoin and Gold Correlation

The monthly correlation rate between gold and Bitcoin has recently reached an all-time high of 70%, surpassing the peaks recorded in 2018 and 2019, according to Skew Analytics.

Skew Analytics noted that such high correlation rates echo Bitcoin's narrative as a safe haven during times of uncertainty. As governments and central banks are increasingly printing more money to "save" their economies, investors appear to be switching from fiat currencies (prone to inflation) to harder assets. 

In an earlier interview with KMID, Donald Trump, the President of the US, said that the next round of COVID-19 packages "may go higher" than the previous series of $1,200 per individual. He added:

I'd like to see it be very high, because I love the people. I want the people to get it.

Because of government spending like this, Bitcoin and gold have surged in price throughout 2020. BTC reached a yearly high of $12,000 just as gold hit a historic $2,000 per ounce. However, both markets have fallen back significantly in recent times. They have been positively correlated. Bitcoin dropped by 4% to $11,200 a recently while gold suffered its worst slide in more than seven years. 

Popular Bitcoin critic and a gold advocate, Peter Schiff, took to Twitter to calm gold investors. 

Notably, the RSI indicates that gold is currently overbought and is close to a sell-off, while Bitcoin is still in a market equilibrium zone. RSI is an indicator that shows whether buyers or sellers are dominating a market. 

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