|

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD bulls are waiting for Santa's rally

  • BTC/USD traders are waiting for new triggers.
  • Bitcoin may develop an upside momentum ahead of the year-end.

Bitcoin (BTC) hit the bottom at $6,526 on November 25 and managed to claw back some ground since that time. While the bull started to lose their drive and again on the approach to $7,900, the traders try to find some glimpses of hope on long-term Bitcoin charts. 

Let's have a closer look at what's going on with the first digital coin.

First of all, neither rally nor the retreat from the above-mentioned resistance has solid fundamentals behind them. The best guess is that the moves were triggered by whales positioning and speculations about whales positioning. Also, some rumors about a crypto ban in China might have had some negative impact on Bitcoin price, but this theory does not hold up against criticism. The country is known for its tough approach to trading digital assets, though it never stopped the citizens from using loopholes and roundabout ways to invest in Bitcoins and other virtual money. 

The charts tell a story

We have long been speaking about $7,300-$7,350 area as a pivotal area for BTC. It includes 61.8% Fibo retracement for the move from $3,226 to $13924 and attracts the price as a magnet. Basically, BTC/USD has been moving to and from since the recovery from $6,526. We will need a strong impulse to brake the gravitation force that keeps BTC around this pivot. 

Looking technically, while the weekly chart creates the third doji in a row, the daily chart shows rising bottoms, which may be interpreted as a mild bullish signal, provided that we manage to clear $7,600 (the recent high) in the nearest couple of sessions. If this happens, we may see a return to $7,900 and, potentially to critical $8,000 before the year-end. 

Historically, the pre-Christmas period is good for financial markets. Cryptocurrencies are no exception here as Bitcoin rose both in December 2017 and 2018 ahead of the New Year. This phenomenon is known as Santa's rally. 

If we manage to get a ride this year, BTC/USD may extend the recovery towards $8,600 (50% Fibo retracement) and $9,000, with the upside gaining traction ahead of halving. 

BTC/USD, the daily chart

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Editor's Picks

Cardano Price Forecast: Approaches critical support as correction risks grow
Cardano (ADA) recovers slightly, trading at $0.206 at the time of writing on Friday, inches above the critical support zone after losing more than 6% so far this week. Weakening derivatives data and fading bullish momentum suggest a bearish near-term outlook, with a decisive close below the support zone potentially triggering a deeper correction for ADA.
Crypto Overview: Bitcoin slips below $77,000 – Raydium, Falcon Finance hold gains

Bitcoin price trades below $77,000 on Friday, extending its capitulation from the previous week’s high at $82,300. Broader market consensus points to a higher likelihood that the US Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at the September meeting, as inflation concerns rise amid the war with Iran.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC pullback, ETH stalls, XRP weakens
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) remain under pressure on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market extends its losses over 4%, 2.5% and 5%, respectively, this week.
Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH holds above $2,400 as PPI data strengthens rate hike expectations
Ethereum (ETH) is down 0.7% on Thursday as the second-largest cryptocurrency looks to recover from earlier pressure following the release of stronger US inflation data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose 0.4% in August, matching market expectations after a revised 0.1% increase in July, according to the US Labor Department.
Bitcoin: Gearing up for a sharp move
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $81,000 on Friday, up over 4% so far this week, and awaits a key catalyst that could determine its next directional move. Strong institutional demand is supporting the bullish price action, with spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on track to record a third straight week of inflows.