|

Bitcoin price analysis: another Groundhog day under $4,000

  • BTC/USD stays marginally below $4,000.
  • The upside momentum is slow for a decisive breakthrough.

Bitcoin (BTC) topped at $4,057 on Thursday, March 21, and has been trading below $4,000 handle ever since. The market lacks momentum as all recent attempts to take the price above the critical resistance failed to transform into a meaningful recovery.

On the intraday level, BTC/USD is supported by $3,950-$3,930 congestion zone strengthened by SMA100 (4-hour). Once this barrier is cleared, a stronger support at $3,900 will come into view followed by SMA200 (4-hour) at $3,888.  

Considering slightly upward-looking RSI on intraday charts, the price may attempt a move higher with a potential testing of the above-mentioned $4,000 hurdle. Though, we will need a strong impulse to take the price above the psychological barrier strengthened by a host of intraday SMA levels located on approach. 

From the longer-term point of view, four Doji candles in a row on a daily chart look really depressive. As there are no clear signals of an upcoming breakthrough, we are in for more rangebound trading. The market will unleash its bullish potential only upon a move above 4,200.

BTC/USD, 1-hour chart

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe recover, echoing Bitcoin rebound

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are trading mixed as Bitcoin records minor gains on Monday, warming sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market. Still, the incipient recovery in Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe remains fragile amid the prevailing downtrend.

Bitcoin consolidates as downside risks persist

Bitcoin has made only three wave rallies from the November lows, which is one of the most important indications that more weakness may still lie ahead.

Polkadot's (DOT) dips, with token underperforming wider crypto markets

DOT $1.8269 fell 2% to $1.84 over the last 24 hours. Trading volumes were 7.8% above the seven-day moving average at 7.76 million tokens, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis model.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.