|

Binance Coin Price Prediction: BNB primed for a 30% rally if crypto market stabilizes

  • Binance Coin price has shaped an outstanding head-and-shoulders topping pattern.
  • BNB 200-day SMA was instructive support during this week’s spike lower.
  • A strong close into Sunday would form a bullish hammer pattern on the weekly chart.

Binance Coin price is confronted with a bearish outlook as the right shoulder of the head-and-shoulders topping pattern may be near completion. The doji candlestick on June 22 did generate a reversal, but the resulting bounce was on marginal volume. Nevertheless, as long as BNB maintains daily closes above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), the altcoin will be able to deflect any weakness in the cryptocurrency complex.

Binance Coin price still not secure, challenges remain

Binance Coin price plummeted 70% from the May 3 high of $704.62 to the May 23 low of $210.95, highlighted by a 34% decline on May 19. The performance was in line with most other altcoins, but unlike many cryptocurrencies, BNB held the 200-day SMA, a robust level of support to originate a meaningful rally.

With only the weight of the 50-day SMA pressing down on Binance Coin price, the digital token did not break the May 23 low during this recent sell-off in the cryptocurrency market. Moreover, BNB has maintained the 200-day SMA on a daily closing basis, establishing a level of relative strength.

If the cryptocurrency market does regain stability, Binance Coin price will not encounter any resistance until the 50-day SMA at $405.15. Then the high of the right shoulder at $434.05, delivering a 30% return for committed BNB investors. The trigger for timing the opportunity is a trade over $324.97. 

After $434.05, Binance Coin price will not meet any formidable resistance until the all-time high of $704.62.

BNB/USD daily chart

BNB/USD daily chart

On the bearish side, Binance Coin price remains locked in the right shoulder of a head-and-shoulders topping pattern, leaving it vulnerable to additional weakness, possibly triggering the neckline currently at $201.40. The BNB pattern will not be voided until a trade above the right shoulder high of $434.05.

The measured move of the head-and-shoulders pattern is 70%, indicating a final Binance Coin price low of $61.84, leaving BNB below the 50% retracement of the March 2020-May 2021 advance at $67.46.  

An emerging concern for Binance Coin price is the triggering of a head-and-shoulders pattern for the BNB/BTC pair on June 21. The pair has rebounded back to the neckline and the 200 twelve-hour SMA, but the measured move for the pattern has still not been fulfilled. The target coincides with the May 23 low. 

The BNB/BTC pair developments could signal that the Binance Coin price decline is not over yet, raising the importance of the neckline on the BNB chart.

BNB/BTC 12-hour chart

BNB/BTC 12-hour chart

Binance Coin price conditions are fluid right now as it deals with the crosscurrents of technical patterns and a grumpy cryptocurrency complex. The best approach is to wait for BNB to strike the pivots or support that will yield high probability opportunities. 

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs. 

Luna Classic soars 20% as Do Kwon's sentence hearing looms

Luna Classic surges 20% on Friday, extending its recovery for the fourth consecutive day. Roughly 959 million tokens have been burned in December so far, fueling LUNC's recovery.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin (BTC) is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Resistance at $94,150 capped recovery on Wednesday, but in the meantime, bulls have contained downside risks above $90,000. 

Ethereum strengthens against BTC post-Fusaka, targeting $3,200 breakout

Ethereum trades above $3,100 on Friday, with bulls aiming for a breakout above a two-month-old resistance trendline. Ethereum gains strength against Bitcoin as demand for the major altcoin increases after the Fusaka upgrade.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin (BTC) is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Resistance at $94,150 capped recovery on Wednesday, but in the meantime, bulls have contained downside risks above $90,000.