|

Analysts fear Bitcoin price correction below $29,000 as BTC decouples with stock markets

  • Bitcoin derivatives data reveals that leverage traders are bullish on the asset as it decouples with stock markets. 
  • Proponents note that 55% of Bitcoin supply is still profitable despite the recent drop in price. 
  • Analysts identified a descending channel, indicating a bearish phase in Bitcoin price. 

Bitcoin price is hit by a slump and dropped below new support levels. The asset is expected to end the week around the $29,000 zone as Bitcoin decouples from stocks. 

Bitcoin price continues to plummet, ends the week around $29,000

In the recent crypto market collapse, the Bitcoin price witnessed losses for nearly eight weeks. Analysts fear a BTC price drop below support levels. Volume is a key factor in the Bitcoin price trend, and trade volume has dropped considerably. 

While Bitcoin price has consolidated around the $29,000 to $30,000 region, metrics reveal a bearish phase is incoming. The Crypto data intelligence platform Glassnode reveals that the NVT signal, a variation on the NVT Ratio, uses the 90-day moving average of daily transaction volume in its denominator. The signal is used to predict peaks in Bitcoin price. 

The signal has recorded its four-year low of 233.9. This is a sign of a bearish phase in Bitcoin price. 

BTC NVT Signal

BTC NVT Signal 

55% of Bitcoin supply is still profitable 

Despite the recent Bitcoin price drop below $30,000, 55% of its supply is still profitable. Kripto Mevsimi, a leading crypto analyst on Glassnode, compared Bitcoin price cycles from the 2017 to 2018 top. 

It took an average of 151 to 184 days for 55% of the supply to be profitable. Post that, there is a massive drop, and capitulation in Bitcoin. In the 2021-22 cycle, profits have decreased nearly 58% within 213 days, and analysts expect boring price action and capitulation to follow. 

BTC previous cycles

BTC previous cycles

Analysts have evaluated the Bitcoin price trend and identified a falling wedge pattern. CryptoVizArt, a leading analyst, has identified a clear Wyckoff accumulation phase and the Bitcoin price is consolidating inside a demand zone. 

Bitcoin has continued its downtrend over the past few months, following a drop below the all-time high at $69,000. The recent drop below the key psychological barrier at $30,000 has fueled an extreme bearish sentiment among investors. 

Despite Bitcoin price decoupling from stock markets, analysts fear a further drop in BTC. 

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.