XAU/USD outlook: Gold price is consolidating under new record high, ahead FOMC Minutes

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

XAU/USD

Gold keeps firm tone and consolidating under new record high ($2531) posted on Tuesday, with third consecutive daily close above $2500 level, pointing to clear break.

The yellow metal holds in a steep multi-month uptrend and has registered gains of nearly 22% since the start of the year.

Strong migration into safety on Fed rate cut expectations, geopolitical tensions, uncertainty over economic situation in the US and upcoming US Presidential Election, continued to lift gold price, which rose by almost $500 in seven months of 2024.

Technical picture is firmly bullish on daily chart and contributes to positive outlook, though some price adjustment cannot be ruled out on overbought conditions and fading bullish momentum on daily chart.

Markets widely expect dovish tones from FOMC minutes (due today) and Friday’s speech from Fed Chair Powell, which will also provide more details about the depth of rate cuts.

Limited dips are likely to mark positioning for fresh push higher, with solid supports at $2500/$2483 (psychological / former top) to ideally contain and offer better buying opportunities.

Caution on drop below rising 10DMA ($2473) which may generate an initial signal of stronger correction and expose lower pivots at $2439/32 (20DMA / Aug 15 higher low).

Res: 2531; 2564; 2600; 2614.
Sup: 2500; 2483; 2473; 2450.

Interested in XAU/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 2565.68
2. R2 2548.71
3. R1 2531.34
PP 2514.37
1. S1 2497
2. S2 2480.03
3. S3 2462.66

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

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