XAU/USD outlook: Gold hits new record high

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

Gold price entered uncharted territory again on Thursday, after fresh acceleration higher (the price was up slightly above 1% in early US trading) was sparked by US economic data which added to expectations for Fed rate cut next week.

The yellow metal price hit new record highs and met the first target at $2554 (Fibo 138.2% projection of the upleg from $2471), with further advance to focus $2561 (161.8%), $2591 (200%) and 2600 (psychological and 2024 peak, according to many analysts.

I may disagree with this view, as gold completed three-week consolidation and generating signal of continuation of larger uptrend.

In addition, fundamentals remain favorable and improving, as bets for rate cuts rise and overall geopolitical situation, which strongly contributes to safe haven demand, remains overheated, suggesting that gold price may rally more.

Daily close above former range top ($2531) is required to verify bullish continuation signal and preferably to contain extended dips as strongly overbought conditions on lower timeframes suggest that bulls may take a breather.

Res: 2555; 2561; 2591; 2600.

Sup: 2547; 2541; 2531; 2528.

Interested in XAU/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 2624.59
2. R2 2592.37
3. R1 2575.57
PP 2543.35
1. S1 2526.55
2. S2 2494.33
3. S3 2477.53

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD bounces off lows, back to 1.1860

EUR/USD now manages to regain some balance, retesting the 1.1860-1.1870 band after bottoming out near 1.1830 following the US NFP data on Wednesday. The pair, in the meantime, remains on the defensive amid fresh upside traction surrounding the US Dollar.

GBP/USD rebounds to 1.3660, USD loses momentum

GBP/USD trades with decent gains in the 1.3660 region, regaining composure following the post-NFP knee-jerk toward the 1.3600 zone on Wednesday. Cable, in the meantime, should now shift its attention to key UK data due on Thursday, including preliminary GDP gauges.

Gold stays bid, still below $5,100

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place on Wednesday, retargeting the $5,100 zone per troy ounce on the back of humble gains in the US Dollar and firm US Treasury yields across the curve. Moving forward, the yellow metal’s next test will come from the release of US CPI figures on Friday.