WTI – Rally in the play [Video]
![WTI – Rally in the play [Video]](https://editorial.fxsstatic.com/images/i/Commodities_Oil-2.jpg)
Trade Idea explained.
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Petar Jaćimović
FXCentrum
Petar Jaćimović was born on 8 July 1989 in Jagodina, Serbia.
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AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.
USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.
Gold trims its gains on Friday after briefly climbing above $3,900. The metal fell to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. Hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have fueled bets on an extended period of monetary policy tightening, lifting the US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields and leaving the metal down more than 4% so far this week.
Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.
Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.
Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.
