|

WTI outlook: Oil opens with gap lower as supply fears fade after Israel's attack on Iran

Oil

WTI oil opened with wide gap lower on Monday and fell to the lowest levels in nearly one month, registering a drop of around 5% at the start of the week.

Israel’s attack on Iran over the weekend was a main oil driver with Iran’s oil facilities remaining intact that offset fears of energy supply disruption and deflated oil prices.

Monday’s sharp fall generated strong bearish signal on dip well below psychological $70 support (also the base of thick daily Ichimoku cloud) which held the action in past three days.

Also, breach of former higher low of Oct 18 ($68.15) added to negative outlook, along with short-lived recovery attempts in early European trading.

Bears pressure lower 20-d Bollinger band ($67.23) and eye Oct 1 spike low ($66.33) which guards key support at $65.26 (2024 low posted on Sep 10).

Close below $70 is seen as minimum requirement to keep bears in play, while close below $68.15 to reinforce bearish stance, as daily studies are in full bearish setup.

Res: 69.33; 70.00; 70.30; 71.00.
Sup: 67.23; 66.94; 66.33; 65.26.

oil

Interested in Oil technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 74.2
    2. R2 73
    3. R1 72.28
  1. PP 71.08
    1. S1 70.35
    2. S2 69.16
    3. S3 68.43

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 amid ECB rate hold expectations

The EUR/USD pair declines to around 1.1730 during the early European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. Nonetheless, the potential downside for the major pair might be limited amid the growing acceptance that the European Central Bank is done cutting interest rates. 

When is the UK CPI inflation data and how could it affect GBP/USD?

The United Kingdom Office for National Statistics will publish the highly relevant Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November on Wednesday at 07:00 GMT. GBP/USD is likely to stay subdued if UK CPI meets expectations. However, any upside surprise could cap losses by tempering dovish sentiment ahead of the Bank of England’s policy decision on Thursday. 

Gold: Bulls await breakout through multi-day-old range amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined in a multi-day-old trading range amid mixed fundamental cues. The global risk sentiment remains on the defensive amid economic woes and fears of the AI bubble burst. Moreover, dovish US Federal Reserve expectations lend support to the non-yielding yellow metal, though a modest US Dollar uptick might cap any further appreciating move.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple extend correction as bearish momentum builds

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure as the broader market continues its corrective phase into midweek. The weak price action of these top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization suggests a deeper correction, as momentum indicators are beginning to tilt bearish.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.