|

WTI outlook: Oil opens with gap lower as supply fears fade after Israel's attack on Iran

Oil

WTI oil opened with wide gap lower on Monday and fell to the lowest levels in nearly one month, registering a drop of around 5% at the start of the week.

Israel’s attack on Iran over the weekend was a main oil driver with Iran’s oil facilities remaining intact that offset fears of energy supply disruption and deflated oil prices.

Monday’s sharp fall generated strong bearish signal on dip well below psychological $70 support (also the base of thick daily Ichimoku cloud) which held the action in past three days.

Also, breach of former higher low of Oct 18 ($68.15) added to negative outlook, along with short-lived recovery attempts in early European trading.

Bears pressure lower 20-d Bollinger band ($67.23) and eye Oct 1 spike low ($66.33) which guards key support at $65.26 (2024 low posted on Sep 10).

Close below $70 is seen as minimum requirement to keep bears in play, while close below $68.15 to reinforce bearish stance, as daily studies are in full bearish setup.

Res: 69.33; 70.00; 70.30; 71.00.
Sup: 67.23; 66.94; 66.33; 65.26.

oil

Interested in Oil technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 74.2
    2. R2 73
    3. R1 72.28
  1. PP 71.08
    1. S1 70.35
    2. S2 69.16
    3. S3 68.43

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold puts its 200-day SMA to the test near $4,420

Gold keeps the bullish stance in place in the latter part of Thursday’s session, although a convincing break above the key $4,500 mark per troy ounce still remains elusive. The precious metal’s advance comes amid the resurgence of some selling interest around the Greenback, improving risk sentiment, and declining US Treasury yields across the board.

Bitcoin’s massive storm is back: Why the sell-off is far from over

Bitcoin price action over the last few weeks has felt less like a normal, healthy correction and more like a slow grinding crash that continues to wreak havoc on holdings and trading accounts. And everything suggests that the dramatic crash isn’t over.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.