|

WTI Oil attempts again into daily cloud but negative techs warn of stall

US CRUDE OIL

WTI oil holds steady on Friday and remains in green for the third straight day, driven higher by weaker dollar. Fresh attempts into daily cloud come after Thursday's probe through cloud base ($61.23) and spike to $61.53 proved to be false break. The action was so far capped by 10SMA ($61.42) which limited upticks in previous two sessions and guards a cluster of barriers above, provided by daily MA's (30/20/55SMA) within $61.57 and $62.56. Fresh extension higher is unlikely to sustain break through cloud top and extend higher as daily MA's are in bearish configuration and negative momentum studies continues to weigh. Negative signal could be expected on repeated failure to close above cloud base, which would turn near-term bias bearish and re-expose strong $60.00 support zone (recent multiple downside rejections / rising 100SMA). Bullish scenario sees close above cloud base as minimum requirement, which would be boosted by break above 10SMA, to open way for stronger recovery and test of barriers at $61.57 (30SMA); $61.84 (20SMA) with possible extension towards $62.55 (55SMA) on stronger bullish acceleration.

Res: 61.42; 61.57; 61.84; 62.55
Sup: 61.11; 60.80; 60.49; 60.11

Oil

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold reclaims $5,000 and above

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs just above the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.