|

WTI crude bears put 64 dollars on the horizon [Video]

On the daily chart, following a period of range trading in the boundary of $ 72.68 and $ 69.18, WTI crude oil fell sharply in the Asia trading session earlier on Monday. Prices finally came under pressure, and sellers were able to move the market once again below the 200-day EMA. 

This drop coincided with the rebound from the middle Bollinger Band and showed that the previously broken trend line has successfully acted as a resistance zone.

The divergence of the Bollinger Bands indicates that volatility is on the rise, placing $ 66 as an immediate support area on the market horizon ahead of the third Fan's trend line.

Momentum oscillators are exhibiting a downward tendency. After rebounding from the neutral zone, the RSI is slumping below 50-line. Momentum is in the selling area as well. The MACD indicates that moving averages are forming a negative divergence regarding price falls.

Crude

Short term technical outlook

On the 4-hour chart, after returning from the upper Bollinger band, the price has broken the support of 69.18 and is trading at the extreme of the lower band. A possible downtrend scenario is evaluated as long as the price is below the 200-exponential moving average and is in the lower half of the bands.

If the decline continues, we may see a clear breakthrough this barrier. In that case, the bear's next potential target could be $ 66 before dragging further to the lower support area in the smack of ​​the new uptrend line around $ 64.

Nevertheless, the RSI reading in the oversold area suggests that sellers may take a break for a short time. Momentum, although located in bearish territory, is pointing south.

The sinking of the MACD bar in the selling region occurs while the signal line is on the verge of crossing below the zero line.

In the alternative scenario, the retreat of the sellers could bring the crude closer to the resistance of 69.18. As the bullish action intensifies, if the price oversteps this resistance, the next obstacle will come from $ 70.52. Losing this trench would push the crude to the previous area of interest at $72.68.

WTI Crude bears put 64 dollars on the horizon

Author

Ali Mortazavi

BEc, CMSA, Member of IFTA - International Federation of Technical Analysis, Associate Member of STA - Society of Technical Analysis (UK).

More from Ali Mortazavi
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD makes a U-turn, focus on 1.1900

EUR/USD’s recovery picks up further pace, prompting the pair to retarget the key 1.1900 barrier amid further loss of momentum in the US Dollar on Wednesday. Moving forward, investors are expected to remain focused on upcoming labour market figures and the always relevant US CPI prints on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

GBP/USD sticks to the bullish tone near 1.3660

GBP/USD maintains its solid performance on Wednesday, hovering around the 1.3660 zone as the Greenback surrenders its post-NFP bounce. Cable, in the meantime, should now shift its attention to key UK data due on Thursday, including preliminary GDP gauges.

Gold holds on to higher ground ahead of the next catalyst

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place on Wednesday, retargeting the $5,100 zone per troy ounce on the back of modest losses in the US Dollar and despite firm US Treasury yields across the curve. Moving forward, the yellow metal’s next test will come from the release of US CPI figures on Friday.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP sell-side pressure intensifies despite surge in addresses transacting on-chain 

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.

US jobs data surprises to the upside, boosts stocks but pushes back Fed rate cut expectations

This was an unusual payrolls report for two reasons. Firstly, because it was released on  Wednesday, and secondly, because it included the 2025 revisions alongside the January NFP figure.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.