With Broad Support, Production Jumps Most in Three Years

Tim Quinlan Wells Fargo

Despite mixed signals from survey data, the latest report on the industrial sector suggest broad firming in manufacturing activity as industrial production increased 1.0 percent—the largest gain in three years.

Industrial Production Firms

The 1.0 percent increase in industrial production for April was more than double the 0.4 percent increase that had been expected and affirms that the slow-growth recovery in the manufacturing sector remains intact.
Encouragingly, manufacturing output also increased 1.0 percent in April and with that gain the overall level of manufacturing output is at a fresh high for this cycle.

Broad-Based Growth

For the first time in recent memory, all three major industry groups were higher with manufacturing, mining and utilities all posting gains of at least 0.7 percent on the month.
One lesson from the ups and downs of the manufacturing recovery in this cycle is to curb your enthusiasm when the data finally indicate firming in activity. The latest print of the ISM manufacturing survey showed a big dip in the orders component

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Author

Tim Quinlan

Wells Fargo

Tim Quinlan is an economist for Wells Fargo. Based in Charlotte, N.C., he provides analysis and commentary on U.S. business spending as well as macroeconomic developments in foreign economies.

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