|

Why Fed pivot supercharges the bullish case for Gold $4,000 and Silver $50 [Video]

At the 2025 Jackson Hole Symposium, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell did more than hint at a shift – he fired the starting gun for what could become the most explosive rally in precious metals history. By signalling that a September rate cut is now firmly on the table, Powell set in motion a powerful reallocation of capital into Gold and Silver. 

The reaction was swift. Gold surged to $3,375 an ounce – just shy of April’s all-time record high of $3,500. Silver rocketed above $39 an ounce – within striking distance of 14-year highs, as traders rushed to front-run what many now believe will be a historic breakout. As GSC Commodity Intelligence put it: “For precious metals traders, the pivot marked a once-in-a-generation turning point.” 

For Gold, the case has rarely looked stronger. Lower interest rates erode the U.S dollar, diminish the appeal of bonds and turbo-charge demand for safe-havens. According to analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence, this is precisely the backdrop in which Gold historically delivers its most parabolic upside moves. 

Institutional positioning is already shifting. ETFs are recording renewed inflows, Central Banks remain steady buyers and traders are betting that Gold will not only retest $3,500 but smash through to $4,000 an ounce in the months ahead. As GSC notes: “Once that psychological barrier falls, momentum alone could propel prices much higher, cementing Gold’s role as the ultimate hedge against monetary easing.” 

To quote GSC Commodity Intelligence – “If Gold is the anchor of the trade, Silver is the leverage”. The Gold-Silver ratio remains stretched at historically high levels, a signal that Silver is significantly undervalued relative to Gold. Historically, such extremes have unleashed extraordinary mean-reversion rallies with Silver dramatically outperforming. 

Adding fuel to the fire, Saudi Arabia’s central bank has just added Silver to its reserves for the first time in history. This unprecedented move underscores growing global recognition of Silver’s strategic importance – not just as an industrial metal, but as a core monetary asset. For many traders, it is a powerful signal of conviction that Silver prices could be heading toward record highs in the months ahead. 

Combine that with a fifth consecutive year of global supply deficits and surging demand from Solar, Electrification and AI-driven Industries – and the stage is set. Once Silver decisively clears the $40–$42 resistance zone, the path to $50 an ounce could be fast, furious and potentially historic. 

For traders, the strategy could not be clearer. A September Fed cut weakens the dollar and accelerates flows into hard-assets. Gold and Silver are the natural beneficiaries – and they often respond explosively. In a note to clients, analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence wrote:

Gold: A move from $3,375 to $4,000 represents a clean, high-conviction trade with significant upside. 

Silver: From $39 to $50 is a +28% surge. A perfectly-timed and well-executed entry here could mint the next generation of millionaires. 

With 2025 already showcasing double-digit Commodity rallies in weeks – sometimes even a single session – this is well and truly what many are calling the “Golden Age of Trading.” 

Wall Street is increasingly unanimous: the second half of 2025 will be remembered as the moment Gold and Silver broke into uncharted territory. 

With Powell’s pivot, the stage is set. Gold at $4000 and Silver at $50 are no longer bold calls – they are high conviction targets. For traders the opportunity is rare, asymmetric and unfolding right now. 

The only question is: will you seize it before the breakout leaves you behind? 

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions: 

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot around 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts. 

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report. 

Gold: Is the $5,000 level back in sight?

Gold snaps a two-day downtrend, as recovery gathers traction toward $5,000 on Wednesday. The US Dollar recovers from the overnight sell-off as rebalancing trades resume ahead of Fed Minutes. The 38.2% Fib support holds on the daily chart for now. What does that mean for Gold?

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.