|

Weekly market analysis: Elliott Wave setups in EUR/USD, S&P500 and Crude Oil [Video]

Youtube preview

In-depth financial market analysis is essential for all traders aiming to achieve consistent results. This week, our focus is on three major markets: EUR/USDS&P500, and Crude Oil (WTI), leveraging the power of Elliott Wave, key technical levels, impending macro releases, and robust risk management methods.

EUR/USD: Ready for a bullish reversal?

EUR/USD offers a clear bullish setup for those able to spot precise turning points. Currently, the support zone between 1.1576 and 1.1660 is the focal area for a potential long entry, provided the price confirms a reversal. There is a 68% probability, based on Elliott Wave structure and recent behavior, that price will respect these levels before heading upward.

How to trade the reversal?

  • Wait for confirmation: Enter only after identifying a clear reversal bar signaling a trend change. Early entries increase risk.
  • Risk management: Place stops just below support. Adjust position size based on volatility.
  • Suggested targets: The 1.1700 area and beyond if bullish strength persists.

Why watch macro data?

The long-awaited U.S. jobs report can trigger unexpected volatility. Negative data may favor a bullish EUR/USD move.

S&P500: Bullish wave structure and key opportunities

The S&P500 is currently positioned for an upward move. The long was triggered near a key bottom, and Elliott Wave analysis points to potential advances toward 6900–7000.

Multi-timeframe strategies

  • Day trading: Seek intraday pullbacks for new long entries.
  • Swing trading: Hold positions targeting broader objectives, with stops below current support.
  • Scalping: Capture quick moves in the main direction, always aligned with the broader trend.

Elliott Wave allows you to refine entry and exit points across any timeframe, ensuring technical coherence in analysis.

Key support & resistance:

  • Immediate support: 6736
  • Targets: 6900–7000

Crude Oil (WTI): Short opportunity and defensive management

Crude Oil presents a finishing-cycle structure, ideal for a short setup on the 5-minute chart. The trade seeks to capture downside moves toward lower support.

Execution steps:

  • Secure break-even: Move stop to break-even once price advances in your favor to reduce risk.
  • Main targets: Local low identified in the analysis session.
  • Trailing stops: Maximize profits while protecting against sudden reversals.

Integrated analysis techniques

Validation comes not just from Elliott Wave, but also from robust support/resistance and exhaustions to time entries and exits.

Final thoughts: Risk management and macro factors

Market success relies not only on finding setups, but on professional risk management. Always consider economic releases (especially US jobs data), diversify strategies, and keep a daily watch on technical levels.

Author

Juan Maldonado

Juan Maldonado

Elliott Wave Street

Juan Maldonado has a University degree in Finance, and Foreign trade started his trading career in 2008. Since 2010 has been analyzing the markets using Elliott Wave with different strategies to spot high probability trades.

More from Juan Maldonado
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds near 1.1800 after pulling back from three-month highs

EUR/USD holds gains for the third successive session, trading around 1.1790 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index stands at 71 (overbought), which could temper immediate upside as momentum stretches. An RSI overbought status would favor consolidation phases before trend resumption.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold: Record rally sustains near $4,500 on safe-haven flows

Gold sustains the record-setting rally near $4,500 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The Israel-Iran conflict and the escalating US-Venezuela tensions boost safe-haven flows into Gold. Furthermore, US Q3 GDP data fails to lift the US Dollar amid growing bets for two Fed rate cuts in 2026, underpinning the non-yielding bullion. 

Top Crypto Losers: NIGHT, PUMP, TAO – Altcoins plunge just before the holidays

Midnight, Pump.fun and Bittensor are leading losses over the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market declines. The altcoins under pressure risk further losses as the selling pressure rises just before the holidays.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.