|

Weekly market analysis: Elliott Wave setups in EUR/USD, S&P500 and Crude Oil [Video]

Youtube preview

In-depth financial market analysis is essential for all traders aiming to achieve consistent results. This week, our focus is on three major markets: EUR/USDS&P500, and Crude Oil (WTI), leveraging the power of Elliott Wave, key technical levels, impending macro releases, and robust risk management methods.

EUR/USD: Ready for a bullish reversal?

EUR/USD offers a clear bullish setup for those able to spot precise turning points. Currently, the support zone between 1.1576 and 1.1660 is the focal area for a potential long entry, provided the price confirms a reversal. There is a 68% probability, based on Elliott Wave structure and recent behavior, that price will respect these levels before heading upward.

How to trade the reversal?

  • Wait for confirmation: Enter only after identifying a clear reversal bar signaling a trend change. Early entries increase risk.
  • Risk management: Place stops just below support. Adjust position size based on volatility.
  • Suggested targets: The 1.1700 area and beyond if bullish strength persists.

Why watch macro data?

The long-awaited U.S. jobs report can trigger unexpected volatility. Negative data may favor a bullish EUR/USD move.

S&P500: Bullish wave structure and key opportunities

The S&P500 is currently positioned for an upward move. The long was triggered near a key bottom, and Elliott Wave analysis points to potential advances toward 6900–7000.

Multi-timeframe strategies

  • Day trading: Seek intraday pullbacks for new long entries.
  • Swing trading: Hold positions targeting broader objectives, with stops below current support.
  • Scalping: Capture quick moves in the main direction, always aligned with the broader trend.

Elliott Wave allows you to refine entry and exit points across any timeframe, ensuring technical coherence in analysis.

Key support & resistance:

  • Immediate support: 6736
  • Targets: 6900–7000

Crude Oil (WTI): Short opportunity and defensive management

Crude Oil presents a finishing-cycle structure, ideal for a short setup on the 5-minute chart. The trade seeks to capture downside moves toward lower support.

Execution steps:

  • Secure break-even: Move stop to break-even once price advances in your favor to reduce risk.
  • Main targets: Local low identified in the analysis session.
  • Trailing stops: Maximize profits while protecting against sudden reversals.

Integrated analysis techniques

Validation comes not just from Elliott Wave, but also from robust support/resistance and exhaustions to time entries and exits.

Final thoughts: Risk management and macro factors

Market success relies not only on finding setups, but on professional risk management. Always consider economic releases (especially US jobs data), diversify strategies, and keep a daily watch on technical levels.

Author

Juan Maldonado

Juan Maldonado

Elliott Wave Street

Juan Maldonado has a University degree in Finance, and Foreign trade started his trading career in 2008. Since 2010 has been analyzing the markets using Elliott Wave with different strategies to spot high probability trades.

More from Juan Maldonado
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks weak below 1.1800

EUR/USD has slipped back under pressure, breaking through the 1.1800 support and drifting towards the weekly lows near 1.1770 ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The move reflects renewed strength in the US Dollar, with steady geopolitical tensions keeping its demand firm. Moving forward, the release of the German labour market report and flash inflation figures should keep European investors entertained on Friday.
 

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

How AI, blockchain, stablecoins are shaping a new global economy – Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire

Artificial Intelligence (AI), blockchain technology and stablecoins are emerging as core pillars of a new global economic system, according to Circle’s CEO, Jeremy Allaire.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.