|

USD weaker with risk-on in NASDAQ and S&P, XAU/USD and XAG/USD in bear runs with pullbacks [Video]

In today’s GCI Market Outlook, let’s take a look at Forex Trading on Gold, XAUUSD, Silver, XAGUSD, NZDUSD, AUDUSD, EURUSD, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P500, and the NASDAQ

The markets are a funny thing, as sometimes, they do the opposite of what the data shows us.

We have higher inflation, political chaos, geopolitical crises, and uncertainty all over the world.

Youtube preview

But the US Federal Reserve thinks that inflation is transitory, as they call it, because of the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, they see no risk of a recession, and inexplicably, the Chicago Fed president actually voted for an interest rate cut this week.

Was this enough to encourage investors?  

Something did as we see the US indices like the NASDAQ and the S&P500 on fire again.

This may also be a factor of the renewed excitement in AI investment and positive earnings reports.

84% of S&P500 companies beat estimates, and growth is elevated at 13%.

We also see the Dow Jones Industrial Average wiping out its 7-day bear run, so keep an eye on the all-time highs.

This risk-on mood has shifted many investors out of cash and back into equities, and we can see USD falling against all other currencies.

Technically, EURUSD is in a downtrend with the stochastic oscillator overbought and turning over.

We see a similar opportunity in NZDUSD in a range trading scenario.

And again in AUDUSD.

And, just like EURUSD, the weakness in USD created a pullback in gold and silver, giving us technical opportunities.

If we zoom into the 30-minute chart on gold, we see a descending triangle, which may have moved on by the time you see this video, but you may note a lack of price action due to the various holidays today and Monday.

Next Tuesday, we see an interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

We have seen recent volatility in AUD pairs, so watch for fundamental and technical opportunities.

That’s all for now.

CFDs and FX are leveraged products, and your capital may be at risk.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stabilizes near 0.7100 as the post-Fed USD rally pauses

AUD/USD consolidates the previous day's losses near 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar pauses its hawkish Fed-inspired rally to its highest level since late July. However, RBA rate-hike bets and hopes for US-Iran diplomatic efforts lift risk sentiment and support the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar and the major.

USD/JPY reverses a dip below 156.00 as focus shifts to BoJ

USD/JPY is reversing a brief dip below 156.00 in the Asian session on Thursday, looking to snap a three-day winning streak to a nearly two-week top set the previous day. The US Dollar pauses following the post-Fed rally to seven-week highs, while a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ's policy normalization path supports the Japanese Yen. This keeps the pair's upside limited, with the focus now shifting to the BoJ policy decision due on Friday.

Gold flirts with $4,300 on the post-Fed road to recovery

Gold flirts with the $4,300 level in the Asian session on Thursday, reversing much of the previous day's losses to a six-week low as the US Dollar eases from its highest level since late July. Meanwhile, oil-driven inflation fears ease amid hopes of US-Iran diplomacy, weighing on US Treasury yields while lifting yieldless Gold.

What happens to Ethereum price now that the Clarity Act has failed

Ethereum and the wider crypto market felt the impact of the Clarity Act failing to clear the Senate. Analysts had touted the bill as a major tailwind for the second-largest cryptocurrency. Expectations that its advance would trigger a rally have now been reset. The setback has left its mark on ETH.

The Fed rate hike: What happens now?
The dust has settled on tonight’s Fed meeting and the market reaction is clear: the Fed’s signal that there could be a series of rate hikes has spooked financial markets. Bonds sold off at the short end of the Treasury curve and US stocks also fell, led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which slipped more than 1% on Wednesday night.
How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.