USD/JPY Price Forecast: Next stop on the downside is at 105.10

USD/JPY’s upside failed at the 100-day SMA near 107.00.
Immediately to the downside emerges the monthly low at 105.10.

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

The upside momentum in USD/JPY run out of steam ahead of the critical 107.00 mark on Friday, where also coincide the 100-day SMA and monthly peaks (August 13).

The resumption of the bearish trend in the greenback is forcing the US Dollar Index to recede further ground and trade at shouting distance from the 2020 low near 92.10 (August 18), all following the shift in Fed’s stance, announced by Chief Powell at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Thursday.

The next moves in US yields in the wake of the latest Fed’s decision promise to be crucial in determining the price action in the pair in the very near-term.

In addition, political uncertainty (if any) following PM Abe’s resignation could also undermine the scenario around the Japanese safe haven.

Near-term Outlook

USD/JPY faces immediate contention in the boundaries of the 105.00 yardstick, or monthly lows. Is sellers remain in control, then focus of attention should shift to the July low in the 104.20 zone (July 31). While further downside remains on the cards – particularly following the current bearish ‘outside day’ candle - a visit to the area of yearly lows in the 101.20/15 band is not favoured for the time being. On the upside, the 107.00 region emerges as the next hurdle of significance ahead of the critical 200-day SMA just below 108.00 the figure.

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

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