USD/CAD’s Long-Term Top Remains Alive And Well | US Retail Sales and CAD CPI On Tap [Video]

Matt Simpson, CFTe, MSTA CityIndex

We'd like to refer to an older article from June, where we outlined a bearish case for USD/CAD against the bullish trend. Using a change of market positioning and a bearish divergence with MACD, we argued a break of the bullish trendline was favoured and that it could be carving out a topping pattern.

Indeed, we saw the breakdown soon after, but the weekly chart has printed two more lower highs in the form of bearish engulfing candles, keeping the longer-term topping pattern alive and well. Later today we have US retail sales and Canadian CPI data, which places USD/CAD into the crosshairs of volatility. So, for our bearish bias, we'd prefer to see weak US retail and firmer Canadian CPI, but even if the reverse happens, it's unlikely to change our bearish view of the bigger picture.

So in today's video we highlight an important zone of resistance, which provides our bearish bias on the daily chart whilst prices remains beneath it.

Author

Matt Simpson, CFTe, MSTA

CityIndex

Matt Simpson is a certified technical analyst who combines charts and fundamentals to generate trading themes.

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.