US secondary home market continues to shrink. Over July, they have fallen by a further 5.9%. The uninterrupted fall has been going on for the last six months, during which annualised home sales have fallen from 6.49 million to 4.81 million.

The inventory of unsold homes is back to a historical norm of around 4, at 3.3 months of current sales. The optimistic outlook suggests that we are now seeing "averaging", meaning that sales will be below average for a while after a period of excessive activity and lots of logistical congestion.

The pessimistic view puts rising interest rates in the debt markets into the equation, knocking down interest in home purchases. And this situation promises to get even worse in the coming months because the Fed intends to raise rates even more.

So far, we are more on the side of the pessimists, suggesting that the housing market will cool down further in the coming months. The real estate market often outperforms and directs capital market trends, and its sustained cooling strengthens the case for a US recession.

Trade Responsibly. CFDs and Spread Betting are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 77.37% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs and Spread Betting with this provider. The Analysts' opinions are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as a recommendation or trading advice.

Feed news Join Telegram

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD struggling around 0.6400 and at risk of piercing the year’s low

AUD/USD struggling around 0.6400 and at risk of piercing the year’s low

Disappointing Australian data and a deteriorated market mood weighed on AUD/USD, quickly approaching the 2022 low at 0.6362. RBA’s Financial Stability report coming up next.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD extends decline sub-0.9800 as risk aversion intensifies

EUR/USD extends decline sub-0.9800 as risk aversion intensifies

The American dollar maintains a strong upward momentum amid renewed inflation and recession concerns. EUR/USD further retreated after failing to regain parity mid-week.

EUR/USD News

Gold struggling to retain its bullish strength

Gold struggling to retain its bullish strength

XAUUSD shed some ground on Thursday, currently hovering around $1,713.00. The dollar has gathered momentum as Wall Street opened in the red, holding into negative territory at the time. Also, government bond yields resumed their advances and hold near fresh weekly highs.

Gold News

Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: The next move could surprise us all

Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: The next move could surprise us all

The crypto market displays mixed signals but hints that the bearish trend is not over yet. Adopting a get-in-get-out mentality may be the more favorable approach for investors looking to expose themselves to the market.

Read more

US September NFP Preview: Analyzing gold's reaction to NFP surprises Premium

US September NFP Preview: Analyzing gold's reaction to NFP surprises

Historically, how impactful has the US jobs report been on gold’s valuation? In this article, we present results from a study in which we analyzed the XAUUSD pair's reaction to the previous 26 NFP prints.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures