|

US Dollar Index Elliott Wave chart

Good day everyone. Markets remain quite volatile, with elevated US Treasury yields, hawkish Fed expectations and ongoing Middle East tensions keeping investors cautious. Technology stocks are showing some weakness sicne yesterday, while gold and silver are trying to recover as yields and the dollar stays trapped in a correction. Today, the focus will be on preliminary US consumer sentiment, but more importantly, inflation expectations. Higher inflation expectations could put renewed pressure on stocks and support yields and the dollar as FED can then be looking for more hikes as it also hinted thats possible, still this year, after reading the latest details from the FOMC minutes.

Now looking at the USD, is still pausing a bit here, and ideally, we are going to see a more complex and deeper wave four, especially as the price is now trying to break below the trend line support. So it's possible that the market will retest lower levels around 101 before potential stabilization shows up, maybe next week, if not earlier. But keep in mind that any deeper pullback here would still be temporary, just a pause within what could still be an incomplete higher-degree uptrend.


Get Full Access To Our Premium Elliott Wave Analysis For 14 Days. Click here.

Author

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Wavetraders

Experience Grega is based in Slovenia and has been in the Forex market since 2003.

More from Gregor Horvat
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold retakes $4,200 amid pre-US CPI repositioning

Gold holds firm, revisiting $4,200 on Friday, extending recovery from two-month lows. US Dollar eases in tandem with Oil prices and Treasury yields, awaiting US sentiment data. The tide seems to be turning in favor of Gold, but the daily RSI is still bearish.


Ethereum activates Glamsterdam on Sepolia testnet: Why the price is falling anyway
Ethereum (ETH) has reached a key milestone in its next major network upgrade. The planned changes aim to improve Ethereum’s Layer 1 capacity and efficiency as network activity grows. The development comes as ETH retreats toward $2,500, highlighting the contrast between the network’s long-term technical progress and its short-term market weakness.
Canada Unemployment Rate expected to rise to 6.5% as US tariffs test labor market

Statistics Canada will release its September Labour Force Survey on Friday, with markets anticipating a modest recovery in employment following August's sharp decline. The report takes on particular importance as it will be the first to fully reflect the impact of new United States tariffs that took effect on August 22.

The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.